Accession to the WTO - Eromenko, Igor
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This research studies the accession of a developing country to the World Trade Organisation on the case of Ukraine. Quantitative results are obtained by building a Computable General Equilibrium model in the mathematical programming language General Algebraic Modelling System (GAMS). Four scenarios are simulated: 1) import tariffs reform; 2) improvement of exports access; 3) improvement of investment climate and 4) the scenario that combines previous three, or a full WTO accession. The results of the model show that in all scenarios there is growth of both exports and imports. By contrast,…mehr

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Produktbeschreibung
This research studies the accession of a developing country to the World Trade Organisation on the case of Ukraine. Quantitative results are obtained by building a Computable General Equilibrium model in the mathematical programming language General Algebraic Modelling System (GAMS). Four scenarios are simulated: 1) import tariffs reform; 2) improvement of exports access; 3) improvement of investment climate and 4) the scenario that combines previous three, or a full WTO accession. The results of the model show that in all scenarios there is growth of both exports and imports. By contrast, output and household consumption levels vary from scenario to scenario. The first two simulations, tariff reform and improvement of export access, show no significant change in domestic production and consumption. Thus, with expanded trade and practically the same output and consumption, Ukraine merely becomes more open and shifts to foreign trade. In the third scenario, improvement of investment climate has the most favourable results. Owning to better allocation of resources, both domestic production and consumption expand and the welfare of households increases.
Autorenporträt
Dr. Igor Eromenko holds PhD in Economics from Heriot-Watt University (UK) and MA in Economics from Kyiv School of Economics (Ukraine). He has an extensive experience of economic analyses and policy consulting in both, Ukraine and the UK. Substantial part of this research was conducted in headquarters of the World Trade Organisation.