Eric T. DeWeaver is the editor of Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Observations, Projections, Mechanisms, and Implications, published by Wiley. Cecilia M. Bitz is an American climatologist known for her research on sea ice and high latitude climate change. She is a professor in the Atmospheric Sciences Department, as well as the director of the Program on Climate Change at the University of Washington.
Inhaltsangabe
Preface Eric T. DeWeaver, Cecilia M. Bitz, and L.-Bruno Tremblayvii
Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Introduction Eric T. DeWeaver 1
Section I: Arctic Sea Ice in the Instrumented andPaleo-Proxy Records
Recent Trends in Arctic Sea Ice and the Evolving Role ofAtmospheric Circulation Forcing, 1979-2007 Clara Deser and Haiyan Teng 7
Reconstructing Sea Ice Conditions in the Arctic and Sub-ArcticPrior to Human Observations Anne de Vernal, Claude Hillaire-Marcel, Sandrine Solignac,Taoufik Radi, and André Rochon 27
Section II: Factors in Sea Ice Sensitivity
Arctic Cloud Properties and Radiative Forcing From Observationsand Their Role in Sea Ice Decline Predicted by the NCAR CCSM3 ModelDuring the 21st Century Irina V. Gorodetskaya and L.-Bruno Tremblay 47
Some Aspects of Uncertainty in Predicting Sea Ice Thinning Cecilia M. Bitz 63
Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness to Intermodel Variationsin the Surface Energy Budget Eric T. DeWeaver, Elizabeth C. Hunke, and Marika M. Holland77
The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic SeaIce Anomalies Uma S. Bhatt, Michael A. Alexander, Clara Deser, John E. Walsh,Jack S. Miller, Michael S. Timlin, James Scott, and Robert A.Tomas 91
Section III: Rapid Loss Versus Abrupt Transition
Sea Ice-Albedo Feedback and Nonlinear Arctic ClimateChange Michael Winton 111
The Role of Natural Versus Forced Change in Future Rapid SummerArctic Ice Loss Marika M. Holland, Cecilia M. Bitz, L.-Bruno Tremblay, and DavidA. Bailey 133
Multiple Equilibria and Abrupt Transitions in Arctic Summer SeaIce Extent William J. Merryfield, Marika M. Holland, and Adam H.Monahan 151
What Is the Trajectory of Arctic Sea Ice? Harry L. Stern, Ronald W. Lindsay, Cecilia M. Bitz, and PaulHezel 175
Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies in a Coupled Model ControlSimulation Richard I. Cullather and L.-Bruno Tremblay 187
Section IV: The Threat to Polar Bears From Sea IceDecline
A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach to Forecasting the 21stCentury Worldwide Status of Polar Bears Steven C. Amstrup, Bruce G. Marcot, and David C. Douglas213
Preface Eric T. DeWeaver, Cecilia M. Bitz, and L.-Bruno Tremblayvii
Arctic Sea Ice Decline: Introduction Eric T. DeWeaver 1
Section I: Arctic Sea Ice in the Instrumented andPaleo-Proxy Records
Recent Trends in Arctic Sea Ice and the Evolving Role ofAtmospheric Circulation Forcing, 1979-2007 Clara Deser and Haiyan Teng 7
Reconstructing Sea Ice Conditions in the Arctic and Sub-ArcticPrior to Human Observations Anne de Vernal, Claude Hillaire-Marcel, Sandrine Solignac,Taoufik Radi, and André Rochon 27
Section II: Factors in Sea Ice Sensitivity
Arctic Cloud Properties and Radiative Forcing From Observationsand Their Role in Sea Ice Decline Predicted by the NCAR CCSM3 ModelDuring the 21st Century Irina V. Gorodetskaya and L.-Bruno Tremblay 47
Some Aspects of Uncertainty in Predicting Sea Ice Thinning Cecilia M. Bitz 63
Sensitivity of Arctic Sea Ice Thickness to Intermodel Variationsin the Surface Energy Budget Eric T. DeWeaver, Elizabeth C. Hunke, and Marika M. Holland77
The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic SeaIce Anomalies Uma S. Bhatt, Michael A. Alexander, Clara Deser, John E. Walsh,Jack S. Miller, Michael S. Timlin, James Scott, and Robert A.Tomas 91
Section III: Rapid Loss Versus Abrupt Transition
Sea Ice-Albedo Feedback and Nonlinear Arctic ClimateChange Michael Winton 111
The Role of Natural Versus Forced Change in Future Rapid SummerArctic Ice Loss Marika M. Holland, Cecilia M. Bitz, L.-Bruno Tremblay, and DavidA. Bailey 133
Multiple Equilibria and Abrupt Transitions in Arctic Summer SeaIce Extent William J. Merryfield, Marika M. Holland, and Adam H.Monahan 151
What Is the Trajectory of Arctic Sea Ice? Harry L. Stern, Ronald W. Lindsay, Cecilia M. Bitz, and PaulHezel 175
Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies in a Coupled Model ControlSimulation Richard I. Cullather and L.-Bruno Tremblay 187
Section IV: The Threat to Polar Bears From Sea IceDecline
A Bayesian Network Modeling Approach to Forecasting the 21stCentury Worldwide Status of Polar Bears Steven C. Amstrup, Bruce G. Marcot, and David C. Douglas213
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