Uffe B. Kjærulff, Anders L. Madsen

Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis

• Gebundenes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all beendeveloped and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.

Produktdetails

• Information Science and Statistics 22
• Verlag: Springer / Springer New York / Springer, Berlin
• Artikelnr. des Verlages: 978-1-4614-5103-7
• 2. Aufl.
• Seitenzahl: 400
• Erscheinungstermin: 29. November 2012
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 241mm x 160mm x 25mm
• Gewicht: 707g
• ISBN-13: 9781461451037
• ISBN-10: 1461451035
• Artikelnr.: 36040199

Autorenporträt

Uffe B. Kjærulff holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Associate Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University. Anders L. Madsen of HUGIN EXPERT A/S holds a PhD on probabilistic networks and is an Adjunct Professor of Computer Science at Aalborg University.

Inhaltsangabe

Introduction.- Networks.- Probabilities.- Probabilistic Networks.- Solving Probabilistic Networks.- Eliciting the Model.- Modeling Techniques.- Data-Driven Modeling.- Conflict Analysis.- Sensitivity Analysis.- Value of Information Analysis.- Quick Reference to Model Construction.- List of Examples.- List of Figures.- List of Tables.- List of Symbols.- References.- Index.

Rezensionen

From the book reviews:

"The monograph concentrates on intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic models, including Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. ... This monograph provides a review of recent state affairs of probabilistic networks that can be useful for professionals, practitioners, and researchers from diverse fields of statistics and related disciplines. I think it can be used as a textbook in its own right for an upper level undergraduate course, especially for a reading course." (Technometrics, Vol. 55 (2), May, 2013)

From the reviews:

"The book under review is by two well known contributors to this general area. ... the book, consisting of five chapters, provides a very clear, insightful introduction to this theory. ... This is a good book for learning or teaching an important, practically useful topic. There are many good examples and example-based discussions." (Jayanta K. Ghosh, International Statistical Review, Vol. 76 (3), 2008)

Kjaerulff, Bayesian networks and influence Diagrams: ...

"This book is written for practitioners wishing to understand, construct, and analyze decision support systems based on Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. ...Simple worked examples are provided throughout....and exercises are included after each chapter. ...this book is a useful addition to the texts on Bayesian networks. ...covers many key aspects in the construction and analysis of decision support systems based on Bayesian networks and influence diagrams, achieving the authors' stated goal; ...I would certainly put this book on my reading list for decision analysis classes and recommend it for research students using these techniques..."(Journal of the American Statistical Association, September 2009, Vol. 104, No. 487)