E. C. Poulton

Behavioral Decision Theory

• Gebundenes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Seitenzahl: 336
• Erscheinungstermin: 23. Januar 2015
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 235mm x 157mm x 23mm
• Gewicht: 640g
• ISBN-13: 9780521443685
• ISBN-10: 0521443687
• Artikelnr.: 23181517

Inhaltsangabe

1. Outline of heuristics and biases
2. Practical techniques
3. Apparent overconfidence
4. Hindsight bias
5. Small sample fallacy
6. Conjunction fallacy
7. Regression fallacy
8. Base rate fallacy
9. Availability and simulation fallacies
10. Anchoring and adjustment bias
11. Expected utility fallacy
12. Bias by frames
13. Simple biases accompanying complex biases
14. Problem questions
15. Training
16. Uncertainties.