Cognitive Strategies in Stochastic Thinking - Scholz, Roland W.
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Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty.- I.- The ¿Base-Rate Fallacy¿ ¿ Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights.- A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems.- Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers).- II.- Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing.

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Produktbeschreibung
Toward an Understanding of Individual Decision Making Under Uncertainty.- I.- The ¿Base-Rate Fallacy¿ ¿ Heuristics and/or the Modeling of Judgmental Biases by Information Weights.- A Conceptualization of the Multitude of Strategies in Base-Rate Problems.- Modes of Thought and Problem Framing in the Stochastic Thinking of Students and Experts (Sophisticated Decision Makers).- II.- Stochastic Thinking, Modes of Thought, and A Framework for the Process and Structure of Human Information Processing.
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Autorenporträt
Roland W. Scholz chairs the Natural and Social Science Interface in the Department of Environmental Sciences at the ETH (Swiss Federal Institute of Technology), Zürich. A mathematician, psychologist and decision theorist by training, he is particularly interested in environmental systems analysis, human-environment interactions, environmental decisions and risk assessment. He has led numerous large-scale transdisciplinary processes to foster sustainable transitions of urban and regional systems.