Thomas L. Saaty, Luis G. Vargas

Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process

Economic, Political, Social and Technological Applications with Benefits, Opportunities, Costs and Risks

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

The Analytic Network Process (ANP), developed by Thomas Saaty in his work on multicriteria decision making, applies network structures with dependence and feedback to complex decision making. This new edition of Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process is a selection of the latest applications of ANP to economic, social and political decisions, and also to technological design. The ANP is a methodological tool that is helpful to organize knowledge and thinking, elicit judgments registered in both in memory and in feelings, quantify the judgments and derive priorities from them, and finally synthesize these diverse priorities into a single mathematically and logically justifiable overall outcome. In the process of deriving this outcome, the ANP also allows for the representation and synthesis of diverse opinions in the midst of discussion and debate.

The book focuses on the application of the ANP in three different areas: economics, the social sciences and the linking of measurement with human values. Economists can use the ANP for an alternate approach for dealing with economic problems than the usual mathematical models on which economics bases its quantitative thinking. For psychologists, sociologists and political scientists, the ANP offers the methodology they have sought for some time to quantify and derive measurements for intangibles. Finally the book applies the ANP to provide people in the physical and engineering sciences with a quantitative method to link hard measurement to human values. In such a process, one is able to interpret the true meaning of measurements made on a uniform scale using a unit.

Produktdetails

• International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 195
• Verlag: Springer / Springer US / Springer, Berlin
• Artikelnr. des Verlages: 978-1-4899-8676-4
• 2. Aufl.
• Seitenzahl: 384
• Erscheinungstermin: 12. Juni 2015
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 235mm x 155mm x 21mm
• Gewicht: 586g
• ISBN-13: 9781489986764
• ISBN-10: 1489986766
• Artikelnr.: 43001452

Inhaltsangabe

The Analytic Network Process.- Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2001: An Expert Judgement Approach.- An Analytic Network Process Model for Financial-Crisis Forecasting.- Outsourcing a Firm's Application Development Group.- ANWR: Artic National Wildlife Refuge, an ANP Validation Example.- The Ford Explorer Case.- Synthesis of Complex Criteria Decision Making: A Case Towards a Consensus Agreement for a Middle East Conflict Resolution.- U.S. Energy Security.- Stabilizing Social Security for the Long-Term.- When Shall Poland Enter the Euro Zone?.- The Conflict between China and Taiwan.- U.S. Response to North Korean Nuclear Threat.- Criteria for Evaluating Group Decision-Making Methods.- An Innovative Orders-of-Magnitude Approach to AHP-Based Multicriteria Decision Making: Prioritizing Divergent Intangible Humane Acts.- Sensitivity Analysis in the Analytic Hierarchy Process.

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The Analytic Network Process.- Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2001: An Expert Judgment Approach.- An Analytic Network Process Model for Financial-Crisis Forecasting.- Outsourcing a Firm’s Application Development Group.- ANWR - Artic National Wildlife Refuge: an ANP Validation Example.- The Ford Explorer Case.- Pennsylvania High-Speed Maglev Project.- U.S. Energy Security.- Stabilizing Social Security for the Long-Term.- The Most Hopeful Outcome in the Middle East Conflict: The Analytic Network Process Approach.- The Conflict Between China and Taiwan.- U. S. Response to North Korean Nuclear Threat.- Criteria for Evaluating Group Decision-Making Methods.

Rezensionen

From the reviews: "The main contribution of the book under review consists in the presentation, discussion and illustration of a method of analysis of multi-object systems with complex structure of mutual dependences or relations. ... chapters are heuristically presented case studies illustrating the method by means of numerous tables, evolutionary diagrams and structural schemes. Each case is analyzed and discussed and its structure is characterized by means of analytic networks. The style of presentation is oriented rather to managers and organizers." (Milan Mares, Zentralblatt MATH, Vol. 1099 (1), 2007) "This book addresses the application of network structures with dependence and feedback in making decisions. ... This book gives numerous examples of potential uses for the ANP and its many variations. ... In addition, the availability of the SuperDecisions software (2006), the personal computer implementation of the ANP, makes this book a wonderful practice guide for decision makers, consultants, and teachers and students in business and engineering schools." (John Wang and Ruben Xing, Interfaces, Vol. 37 (5), 2007)