E. Bell / Howard Raiffa / Amos Tversky (eds.)

Decision Making

Descriptive, Normative and Prescriptive Interactions
Herausgeber: Bell, David E.; Tversky, Amos; Raiffa, Howard

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

The analysis of decision making under uncertainty has again become a major focus of interest. This volume, based on a conference at Harvard Business School, brings together different approaches to decision making - normative, descriptive and prescriptive - which largely correspond to different disciplinary interests of mathematics, psychology, operations research.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Seitenzahl: 636
• Erscheinungstermin: 19. Oktober 1988
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 229mm x 152mm x 37mm
• Gewicht: 934g
• ISBN-13: 9780521368513
• ISBN-10: 0521368510
• Artikelnr.: 22017895

Inhaltsangabe

Preface; Introduction; Part I. Overview Paper: 1. Descriptive, normative,
and prescriptive interactions in decision making David E. Bell, Howard
Raiffa, and Amos Tversky; Part II. Conceptions of Choice: 2. Bounded
rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice James G. March; 3.
Rationality as process and as product of thought Herbert A. Simon; 4.
Normative theories of decision making under risk and under uncertainty P.
C. Fishburn; 5. Risky choice revisited David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa; 6.
Behavioral decision theory: processes of judgment and choice Hillel J.
Einhorn, and Robin M. Hogarth; 7. Reply to commentaries Hillel J. Einhorn,
and Robin M. Hogarth; 8. Response mode, framing, and information-processing
effects in risk assessment Paul Slovic, Baruch Fischhoff, and Sarah
Lichetenstein; 9. Rational choice and the framing of decisions Amos
Tversky, and Daniel Kahneman; 10. Savage revisited Glenn Shafer; Part III.
Beliefs and Judgments about Uncertainties: 11. Languages and decisions for
probability judgment Glenn Shafer, and Amos Tversky; 12. Updating
subjective probability Persi Diaconis, and Sandy L. Zabell; 13.
Probability, evidence, and judgment A. P. Dempster; 14. The effects of
statistical training on thinking about everyday problems Geoffrey T. Fong,
David H. Krantz, and Richard E. Nisbett; Part IV. Values and Utilities: 15.
The mind as a consuming organ T. C. Schelling; 16. Disappointment in
decision making under uncertainty David E. Bell; 17. Marginal value and
intrinsic risk aversion David E. Bell, and Howard Raiffa; 18. Knowing what
you want: measuring labile values Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, and Sarah
Lichetenstein; 19. Sources of bias in assessment procedures for utility
functions John C. Hershey, Howard C. Kunreuther, and Paul J. H. Schoemaker;
20. Simplicity in decision analysis: an example and a discussion Ward
Edwards, Detlof von Winterfeldt, and David L. Moody; 21. Value-focused
thinking and the study of values Ralph L. Keeney; Part V. Areas of
Application: 22. Behaviour under uncertainty and its implications for
policy Kenneth J. Arrow; 23. The relevance of quasi rationality in
competitive markets Thomas Russell, and Richard Thaler; 24. How senior
managers think Daniel J. Isenberg; 25. Problems in producing usable
knowledge for implementing liberating alternatives Chris Argyris; 26. On
the framing of medical decisions Barbara J. McNeil, Stephen G. Pauker, and
Amos Tversky; 27. Whether or not to administer amphotericin to an
immunosuppressed patient with hematologic malignancy and undiagnosed fever
Jonathan E. Gottlieb, and Stephen G. Pauker; 28. The effect of private
attitudes on public policy: prenatal screening for neural tube defects as a
prototype Stephen G. Pauker, Susan P. Pauker, and Barbar J. McNeil; 29.
Discussion agenda for the session on medical decision making and minutes of
a group discussion clinical decision making Milton C. Weinstein,
(moderator), and Harvey V. Fineberg, Barbara J. McNeil, and Stephen G.
Pauker (discussion rapporteur Robert J. Quinn).