Philip E. Tetlock

Expert Political Judgment

How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let al

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Princeton University Press
• New Edition
• Seitenzahl: 368
• Erscheinungstermin: 29. August 2017
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 236mm x 154mm x 29mm
• Gewicht: 523g
• ISBN-13: 9780691175973
• ISBN-10: 0691175977
• Artikelnr.: 47737978

Autorenporträt

Philip E. Tetlock is Mitchell Professor of Leadership at the University of California, Berkeley. His books include Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics (Princeton).

Rezensionen

"It is the somewhat gratifying lesson of Philip Tetlock's new book . . . that people who make prediction their business--people who appear as experts on television, get quoted in newspaper articles, advise governments and businesses, and participate in punditry roundtables--are no better than the rest of us. When they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable, and they rarely admit it, either. . . . It would be nice if there were fewer partisans on television disguised as "analysts" and "experts". . . . But the best lesson of Tetlock's book may be the one that he seems most reluctant to draw: Think for yourself."--Louis Menand, The New Yorker