Global Trends 2005 - Mazarr, Michael J.
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Every few centuries, the world changes in a profound way. Not just gradually, but dramatically and forever. Such periods of rapid change become the markers of new historical eras, as singular and profound as the shift from hunter-gatherer bands to agricultural society and the transition from the agricultural to the industrial era. In the West, we are now living through such a period as our economy moves from one of industry to that of knowledge. ‘Global Trends 200’5 looks at the changes this shift produces and lays out a roadmap for the next decade.
Table of contents:
Introduction…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
Every few centuries, the world changes in a profound way. Not just gradually, but dramatically and forever. Such periods of rapid change become the markers of new historical eras, as singular and profound as the shift from hunter-gatherer bands to agricultural society and the transition from the agricultural to the industrial era. In the West, we are now living through such a period as our economy moves from one of industry to that of knowledge. ‘Global Trends 200’5 looks at the changes this shift produces and lays out a roadmap for the next decade.

Table of contents:
Introduction
TREND ONE: THE FOUNDATIONS
A Story of Two Worlds
A Price Spike Economy
The Foundation of Human Perception: Culture
TREND TWO: THE ENGINES OF HISTORY
The Engines: Science and Technology
The Engines: Social and Psychological
Chaos and Complexity Theory
Where Are They Taking Us?
TREND THREE: THE HUMAN RESOURCES ECONOMY
A New Kind of Economy
The Reorganization of Work
A Human Resources Economy: Other Aspects
Conflict in the Knowledge Era
TREND FOUR: AN ERA OF GLOBAL TRIBES
The Process of Globalization
Tribalism, Fragmentation and Pluralism
Tribalism Within Globalism
TREND FIVE: A TRANSFORMATION OF AUTHORITY
Phase One: The Decline of Hierarchical Authorities
Implications: Social Instability and a Political Crisis
Phase Two: The Rise of New Authorities
TREND SIX: A TEST OF HUMAN PSYCHOLOGY
'In Over Our Heads': Postmodern Life and Human Psychology
A Habit of Alienation
The Psychology of a Media Age
The Pessimism Syndrome
Culture and Psychology
THE SCENARIOS: OUTCOMES OF WORLD POLITICS IN 2005
The End of History
A New Medievalism
Depression Demagogues
Return of the Great Powers
Ecocatastrophe
A Concert of Powers
Conclusion
Autorenporträt
MICHAEL J. MAZARR is Senior Vice President, Business Trends and Strategy, Adjunct Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC and Adjunct Professor of National Security Studies at Georgetown University. The Center for Strategic and International Studies is a public policy research institution dedicated to analysis and policy impact and is located in Washington, DC.