Government Budget Forecasting

Theory and Practice
Herausgeber: Sun, Jinping; Lynch, Thomas D

• Gebundenes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

Revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, this volume examines U.S. forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, utilizing case studies of various states, including California and Texas. It highlights such issues as casino tax revenues and welfare caseloads to clearly define budget forecasting, explain its importance, and describe how budget forecasts are prepared. The authors explore consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors, concluding with a call for transparency and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Taylor & Francis Ltd (Sales)
• Seitenzahl: 660
• Erscheinungstermin: 26. März 2008
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 221mm x 186mm x 37mm
• Gewicht: 1021g
• ISBN-13: 9781420045826
• ISBN-10: 1420045822
• Artikelnr.: 21047081

Autorenporträt

Jinping Sun (California State University, Bakersfield, USA) (Edited by) , Thomas D. Lynch (Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, USA) (Edited by)

Inhaltsangabe

Federal Revenue Forecasting. The State of the Art: Revenue Forecasting in
U.S. State Government. Forecasting State Revenues in Louisiana: From
Dramatic Changes in the Oil and Gas Industry in the 1970s and 1980s to the
Aftermath of Catastrophic Hurricanes in the 2000s. Budget Forecasting for
the State of California. Forecasting the Personal Income Tax. Income Tax
Forecasting in Minnesota. Methods and Issues in Forecasting Casino Tax
Revenue. Estimating and Forecasting Welfare Caseloads. Forecast Evaluation:
A Case Study. Using Census Data to Forecast New Local Sales Taxes. Does
Revenue Forecasting Responsibility Matter: The Case of Milwaukee,
Wisconsin. Evaluating Revenue Forecasting in City Governments: A Survey of
Texas Finance Directors. Pro Forma Forecasting for Determining Financial
Position of Enterprise Operations in Government. Preparing Data for
Forecasting. Consensus Forecasting for Budgeting in Theory and Practice.
Use of Consensus Revenue Forecasting in the U.S. State Governments. State
Revenue Forecasting in the State of Indiana: A Consensus System in a
Politically Divided State. Consensus Revenue Estimating in State
Government: A Case of What Works in Kansas. Forecast Errors: Balancing the
Risks and Costs of Being Wrong. State Fiscal Management: What Practitioners
Can Learn from Risk Management Theory. State Tax Portfolios: An Integrated
Methodology for Forecasting and Analysis. Forecasting Revenues and
Expenditures in the Public Sector: Guidance from a Code of Ethics.
Transparency in Government Revenue Forecasting. Incorporating Fiscal
Architecture into Budget Forecasting. Forecasting Practices in Emerging
Countries: The Morocco Experience.