Judgment and Decision Making is a refreshingly accessible text that explores the wide variety of ways people make judgments. .Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
David Hardman has taught judgment and decision making at London Metropolitan University since 1998, where he is Principal Lecturer for Learning Development. He is co-editor of Thinking: Psychological Perspectives on Reasoning, Judgment, and Decision Making, and is an Associate Editor for the Journal of Economic Psychology.
Inhaltsangabe
Preface and Acknowledgements 1 1 Introduction and Overview: Judgments, Decisions, and Rationality 2 2 The Nature and Analysis of Judgment 8 3 Judging Probability and Frequency 18 4 Judgmental Distortions: The Anchoring-and-Adjustment Heuristic and Hindsight Bias 32 5 Assessing Evidence and Evaluating Arguments 40 6 Covariation, Causation, and Counterfactual Thinking 54 7 Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty 64 8 Preference and Choice 78 9 Confidence and Optimism 92 10 Judgment and Choice over Time 106 11 Dynamic Decisions and High Stakes: Where Real Life Meets the Laboratory 118 12 Risk 132 13 Decision Making in Groups and Teams 146 14 Cooperation and Coordination 160 15 Intuition, Reflective Thinking, and the Brain 174 Appendix 188 References 189 Sources and Credits 209 Author Index 211 Subject Index 219
Preface and Acknowledgements 1 1 Introduction and Overview: Judgments, Decisions, and Rationality 2 2 The Nature and Analysis of Judgment 8 3 Judging Probability and Frequency 18 4 Judgmental Distortions: The Anchoring-and-Adjustment Heuristic and Hindsight Bias 32 5 Assessing Evidence and Evaluating Arguments 40 6 Covariation, Causation, and Counterfactual Thinking 54 7 Decision Making under Risk and Uncertainty 64 8 Preference and Choice 78 9 Confidence and Optimism 92 10 Judgment and Choice over Time 106 11 Dynamic Decisions and High Stakes: Where Real Life Meets the Laboratory 118 12 Risk 132 13 Decision Making in Groups and Teams 146 14 Cooperation and Coordination 160 15 Intuition, Reflective Thinking, and the Brain 174 Appendix 188 References 189 Sources and Credits 209 Author Index 211 Subject Index 219
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