Based on forty years of experience and research, this book provides guidance on forecasting for strategic decision making. It includes methodology, tools, and models. It also explains how to apply sanity checks to existing forecasts to rank project valuations, identify project risks, and select the higher value creation projects. The author discusses how to assess the feasibility of large projects, analyze forecasting models to determine controllable levers, and create the conditions needed for forecasts to materialize.
Based on forty years of experience and research, this book provides guidance on forecasting for strategic decision making. It includes methodology, tools, and models. It also explains how to apply sanity checks to existing forecasts to rank project valuations, identify project risks, and select the higher value creation projects. The author discusses how to assess the feasibility of large projects, analyze forecasting models to determine controllable levers, and create the conditions needed for forecasts to materialize.Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
Preamble. Introduction. Current Strategic Forecasting Paradigm and its Failures. The Promise of Strategic Decision Forecasting. A New Paradigm for Strategic Decision Forecasting. Business Definition of Strategic Decision Forecasting. Mindset, Processes, and Principles. SDF Analytical Techniques and Tools. SDF Assessment and Implementation Techniques. Strategic Decision Forecasting Applications. Corporate Policy and Strategy Development. New Product Development and Launching. New Market or New Business Area Entry. M&A and New Joint Venture Projects. Product, Service, and Technology Licensing. Reorganizations, Restructures, and Turnarounds. Risk and Uncertainty Management. Major Capital Expenditures and Project Financing. Product Portfolio Management. Negotiations Support and Investor Relations Guidance. Future State Realization Planning. Business Case, Business Plan, and Target Support. Implementing Strategic Decision Forecasting. Best in Class Organizations and Forecaster Skills and Qualifications. Strategic Decision Forecasting Implementation Challenges. Summary and Conclusions.
Preamble. Introduction. Current Strategic Forecasting Paradigm and its Failures. The Promise of Strategic Decision Forecasting. A New Paradigm for Strategic Decision Forecasting. Business Definition of Strategic Decision Forecasting. Mindset, Processes, and Principles. SDF Analytical Techniques and Tools. SDF Assessment and Implementation Techniques. Strategic Decision Forecasting Applications. Corporate Policy and Strategy Development. New Product Development and Launching. New Market or New Business Area Entry. M&A and New Joint Venture Projects. Product, Service, and Technology Licensing. Reorganizations, Restructures, and Turnarounds. Risk and Uncertainty Management. Major Capital Expenditures and Project Financing. Product Portfolio Management. Negotiations Support and Investor Relations Guidance. Future State Realization Planning. Business Case, Business Plan, and Target Support. Implementing Strategic Decision Forecasting. Best in Class Organizations and Forecaster Skills and Qualifications. Strategic Decision Forecasting Implementation Challenges. Summary and Conclusions.
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