Mark Fitzpatrick is Director of the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS). Before joining the Institute in 2005, he spent 26 years as a US diplomat. He is the author of The Iranian Nuclear Crisis: Avoiding worst-case outcomes (Routledge for IISS, 2008).
Acknowledgements
Glossary and acronyms
Introduction
Chapter One Pakistan's nuclear programme
Beginnings
Uranium enrichment
Plutonium production
Warheads
Delivery systems
Nuclear policy
No intention to operationalise Nasr
Monetary costs
Civilian nuclear sector
Chapter Two The potential for nuclear use
India
Pakistan conflicts in the nuclear age
Assessment
Chapter Three The potential for a nuclear arms race
Pakistan's motivations for TNWs
Destabilising impact of TNWs
Strain on command and control
Nuclearisation of the sea
Impact on CTBT and FMCT
NATO analogies
Chapter Four The potential for nuclear terrorism
Defining nuclear terrorism
Presence of terrorist groups
Terrorist interest in nuclear weapons
Western assessments
Nuclear
security measures
Paranoia about the US
Potential for insider collusion
Transport vulnerability
Comparison with India and other countries
Assessment
Chapter Five The potential for onward prolife ration and for nuclear accidents
Onward proliferation
Nuclear transfer to Saudi Arabia?
Nuclear safety risks
Conclusion
Nuclear normalisation
Index.
