Pending Major Crisis: An Analysis of the Critical Shortage of US Army Officers in Year Groups 1991-1997
George B. Brown
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Pending Major Crisis: An Analysis of the Critical Shortage of US Army Officers in Year Groups 1991-1997

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There is a pending crisis in the US Army that has received little attention, but that is having a critical effect on the military and its ability to continue its high current operational tempo. The pending crisis is a shortage of US Army field grade officers. The retirement rate of officers reaching 20-years of service last year was 20%; a survey conducted for this thesis indicates the rate could grow to 60%. This loss rate suggests that by 2014, the US Army may be short 30% lieutenant colonels and 20% majors. The most critical aspect of this potential 30% shortage of lieutenant colonels and 2...