This Element offers an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability and an analytical focus on objective probability. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application, introducing a radical form of pluralism and exploring this in statistical modelling.
This Element offers an historically informed review of the philosophy of probability and an analytical focus on objective probability. A distinction is drawn between traditional attempts to interpret chance, and a novel methodological study of its application, introducing a radical form of pluralism and exploring this in statistical modelling.
Introduction 1. The Archaeology of Probability 2. The Classical Interpretation: Equipossibility 3. The Logical Interpretation: Indifference 4. The Subjective Interpretation: Credence 5. The Reality of Chance: Empiricism and Pragmatism 6. The Frequency Interpretation: Actual and Hypothetical Frequencies 7. The Propensity Interpretation: Single Case and Long Run 8. Interpreting and Applying Objective Probability 9. The Explanatory Argument and Ontology 10. Metaphysical Pluralism: The Tripartite Conception 11. Methodological Pragmatism: The Complex Nexus of Chance 12. Two Types of Statistical Modelling 13. Towards a Methodology of Chance Explanation.
Introduction 1. The Archaeology of Probability 2. The Classical Interpretation: Equipossibility 3. The Logical Interpretation: Indifference 4. The Subjective Interpretation: Credence 5. The Reality of Chance: Empiricism and Pragmatism 6. The Frequency Interpretation: Actual and Hypothetical Frequencies 7. The Propensity Interpretation: Single Case and Long Run 8. Interpreting and Applying Objective Probability 9. The Explanatory Argument and Ontology 10. Metaphysical Pluralism: The Tripartite Conception 11. Methodological Pragmatism: The Complex Nexus of Chance 12. Two Types of Statistical Modelling 13. Towards a Methodology of Chance Explanation.
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