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Stressing the concrete applications of economic forecasting, Practical Business Forecasting is accessible to a wide-range of readers, requiring only a familiarity with basic statistics. The text focuses on the use of models in forecasting, explaining how to build practical forecasting models that produce optimal results. In a clear and detailed format, the text covers estimating and forecasting with single and multi- equation models, univariate time-series modeling, and determining forecasting accuracy. Additionally, case studies throughout the book illustrate how the models are actually…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
Stressing the concrete applications of economic forecasting, Practical Business Forecasting is accessible to a wide-range of readers, requiring only a familiarity with basic statistics. The text focuses on the use of models in forecasting, explaining how to build practical forecasting models that produce optimal results. In a clear and detailed format, the text covers estimating and forecasting with single and multi- equation models, univariate time-series modeling, and determining forecasting accuracy. Additionally, case studies throughout the book illustrate how the models are actually estimated and adjusted to generate accurate forecasts. After reading this text, students and readers should have a clearer idea of the reasoning and choices involved in building models, and a deeper foundation in estimating econometric models used in practical business forecasting. Data and models are are available at: http: //www.blackwellpublishing.com/evans
Autorenporträt
Michael Evans began his career in journalism working for a local East London newspaper before making it to Fleet Street in 1970. He worked for the Daily Express for sixteen years, first as a general reporter, then as the home affairs correspondent and, finally, as the defence and diplomatic correspondent. Michael was headhunted by The Times in 1986 where he was appointed Whitehall correspondent before being promoted to defence correspondent, then defence editor - a post he held for twelve years. He was The Times' Pentagon correspondent in Washington from 2010 to 2013, and today he continues to write on defence and intelligence issues for the newspaper. The author of six books, Michael is married, has three sons and lives in London.