Preface
Part I. Methodology: 1. Introduction
2. Aspects of the scientific method
3. A taste of Bayesianism
Part II. Probability: 4. The primitive theory
5. Subjectivism
6. The rationalist interpretation
7. The logical interpretation
8. The evidential state
9. The empirical interpretation
Part III. Confirmation: 10. Explications
11. The paradox
12. A Bayesian pseudo-solution to the problem of induction
13. Projection
Part IV. Induction
Section 1. The Nature of Inductive Inference
Section 2. Conditions of Rationality: 14. Demonstrable reliability
15. The demonstrable reliability of c+
16. Immodesty
17. Audacity
Section 3. The Justification of Induction: 18. The impossibility of a noncircular rationale
19. Inductive demonstration of reliability
20. Semantic justification
Part V. Prediction: 21. Surprise
22. Severe tests
23. Ad hoc hypothesis
24. Prediction versus accommodation
Part VI. Evidence: 25. The evidential value of varied data
26. The value of further data
Part VII. Realism: 27. Popper
28. Realism versus instrumentalism
29. Putnam
30. Glymour
31. Conclusion
Bibliography
Index.
