Provides an introduction to decision analysis. This book is based upon a number of papers and articles taken from the Operational Research Society's journal and other publications. However, the book is not simply a 'collection of reprints': Professor French has provided extensive notes and commentary to weave the extracts into a coherent whole. Although techniques are presented, the main thrust is to convey the purpose of decision analysis and the interpretation that should be placed upon its output: vital topics, but ones seldom discussed in introductory texts. The writing is aimed at the non-technical reader.…mehr
Provides an introduction to decision analysis. This book is based upon a number of papers and articles taken from the Operational Research Society's journal and other publications. However, the book is not simply a 'collection of reprints': Professor French has provided extensive notes and commentary to weave the extracts into a coherent whole. Although techniques are presented, the main thrust is to convey the purpose of decision analysis and the interpretation that should be placed upon its output: vital topics, but ones seldom discussed in introductory texts. The writing is aimed at the non-technical reader.Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
Simon French is Professor of Operational Research and Information Systems, University of Leeds, UK.
Inhaltsangabe
Preface Foreword 1 Introduction 1.1 Preamble 1.2 The rev counter decision /by P. G. Moore and H. Thomas 1.3 Decision analysis and operational research 2 The theory 2.1 Decision tables and decision trees 2.2 Subjective probability and Bayes' theorem 2.3 Utility theory 2.4 Multi attribute utility theory 3 Case studies 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Marketing a new product /by D. W. Beattie 3.3 Balancing the failure modes in the electronic circuit of a cardiac pacemaker: a decision analysis /by B. Ronen, J. S. Pliskin and S. Feldman 3.4 A multi objective decision analysis: budget planning for product engineering /by D. L. Keefer and C. W. Kirkwood 3.5 Decision analysis for the evaluation of risk in nuclear waste management /by J. W. Lathrop and S. R. Watson 3.6 Requisite decision modelling: a case study /by L. D. Phillips 3.7 The use of a simple multiple criteria model to assist in selection from a shortlist /by V. Belton 4 Thinking and sharing perceptions 4.1 A collection of 'Viewpoints' /by K. D. Tocher, R. M. Adelson, S. French, R. Hartley, /L. C. Thomas and D. J. White 4.2 What is a normative analysis? 4.3 From decision theory of decision analysis /by S. French 4.4 Group decision making and decision conferencing 4.5 Subjective aspects of the art of decision analysis: exploring the role of decision analysis in decision structuring, decision support, and policy dialogue /by H. Thomas and D. Samson Further reading References Index.
Preface Foreword 1 Introduction 1.1 Preamble 1.2 The rev counter decision /by P. G. Moore and H. Thomas 1.3 Decision analysis and operational research 2 The theory 2.1 Decision tables and decision trees 2.2 Subjective probability and Bayes' theorem 2.3 Utility theory 2.4 Multi attribute utility theory 3 Case studies 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Marketing a new product /by D. W. Beattie 3.3 Balancing the failure modes in the electronic circuit of a cardiac pacemaker: a decision analysis /by B. Ronen, J. S. Pliskin and S. Feldman 3.4 A multi objective decision analysis: budget planning for product engineering /by D. L. Keefer and C. W. Kirkwood 3.5 Decision analysis for the evaluation of risk in nuclear waste management /by J. W. Lathrop and S. R. Watson 3.6 Requisite decision modelling: a case study /by L. D. Phillips 3.7 The use of a simple multiple criteria model to assist in selection from a shortlist /by V. Belton 4 Thinking and sharing perceptions 4.1 A collection of 'Viewpoints' /by K. D. Tocher, R. M. Adelson, S. French, R. Hartley, /L. C. Thomas and D. J. White 4.2 What is a normative analysis? 4.3 From decision theory of decision analysis /by S. French 4.4 Group decision making and decision conferencing 4.5 Subjective aspects of the art of decision analysis: exploring the role of decision analysis in decision structuring, decision support, and policy dialogue /by H. Thomas and D. Samson Further reading References Index.
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