Responding to Extreme Weather Events

Herausgegeben:Sempere-Torres, Daniel; Karakostas, Anastasios; Rossi, Claudio; Quevauviller, Philippe

• Gebundenes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

An up-to-date discussion of the latest in weather-related event forecasting and management

In Responding to Extreme Weather Events, a team of distinguished researchers delivers a timely and authoritative exploration of three international extreme weather projects: ANYWHERE, I-REACT, and BeAWARE. The key contributions from policymaking, science, and industry in each project are discussed, as are the resulting improved measures and technologies for forecasting and managing weather-related extreme events.

The authors cover the entire crisis management cycle, from awareness and early warning to effective responses to extreme weather events. Readers will also find:
_ A thorough introduction to the science and policy background of managing extreme weather events
_ Comprehensive explorations of impact forecasting for extreme weather events, including discussion of the ANYWHERE project
_ Practical discussions of how to improve resilience to weather-related emergencies with advanced cyber technologies, including discussion of the I-REACT project
_ A novel framework for crisis management during extreme weather events, including discussion of the BeAWARE project

Essential for disaster management professionals, Responding to Extreme Weather Events will also benefit academic staff and researchers with an interest in extreme weather events and their consequences.

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Produktdetails

• Hydrometeorological Extreme Events
• Verlag: Wiley & Sons / Wiley-Blackwell
• Artikelnr. des Verlages: 1A119741580
• 1. Auflage
• Seitenzahl: 416
• Erscheinungstermin: 12. Februar 2024
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 244mm x 170mm x 24mm
• Gewicht: 908g
• ISBN-13: 9781119741589
• ISBN-10: 1119741580
• Artikelnr.: 66802064

Autorenporträt

Daniel Sempere-Torres is Professor at Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain. Anastasios Karakostas is Director at DRAXIS Environmental S.A. and former Senior Researcher at the Centre for Research and Technology Hellas, Thessaloniki, Greece. Claudio Rossi is Program Manager and Senior Researcher at LINKS Foundation, Turin, Italy. Philippe Quevauviller is Former Professor at Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium and Research Programming and Policy Officer at the European Commission.

Inhaltsangabe

List of Contributors xii

Series Preface xvi

1 The ANYWHERE Paradigm Shift in Responding to Weather and Climate Emergencies: Impact Forecasting, Dynamic Vulnerability and the Need for Citizen's Involvement 1
Daniel Sempere- Torres and Marc Berenguer

1.1 Disaster Risk Management in Times of Climate Change: The Need of a Proactive Approach 1

1.2 Adapting Risk Management to the 'New Normality': The Case of Flood Risk Management 2

1.3 Changing the Paradigm: Impact- Based Multi- Hazard Early Warning Systems to Move from Reactive to Pro- Active Emergency Response Strategies 4

1.3.1 From Reactive to Proactive Emergency Response Strategies 5

1.3.2 The ANYWHERE MH- IEWS 9

1.4 The New Paradigm: Dynamic Vulnerability 13

1.5 Future Work: From Multi- Hazards to Multi- Risk IEWS 16

Notes 17

References 18

2 Hydrometeorological Drought Forecasts: Lessons Learned from ANYWHERE and Next Steps to Improve Drought Management 23
Samuel J. Sutanto and Henny A.J. Van Lanen

2.1 Introduction 23

2.2 Method for Forecasting Hydrometeorological Droughts 25

2.2.1 The Climate (ECMWF SEAS5) and Hydrological (LISFLOOD) Models 25

2.2.2 The Drought Indices 26

2.2.3 The Drought Forecast Algorithms 28

2.3 Hydrometeorological Drought Forecasts 30

2.3.1 Meteorological Drought Forecasts 30

2.3.2 Hydrological Drought Forecasts 31

2.4 Drought Forecast Performance 33

2.4.1 The Origin of Seasonal Drought Forecast Skill 33

2.4.2 Examples of Assessment of Seasonal Drought Forecast Performance 34

2.5 Importance of Catchment Memory 38

2.6 Outlook and Future Improvements 40

2.6.1 Drought Impact Forecasts 41

2.6.2 Compound and Cascading (CC) Dry Hazards 43

References 44

3 Experiences and Lessons Learnt in Wildfire Management with PROPAGATOR, an Operational Cellular- Automata- Based Wildfire Simulator 49
Andrea Trucchia, Mirko D'Andrea, Francesco Baghino, Nicolò Perello, Nicola Rebora, and Paolo Fiorucci

3.1 Introduction 49

3.1.1 Mathematical Models for Wildfire Management 50

3.2 Synopsis of Propagator Development: More than a Decade of Wildfire Simulations 52

3.3 Propagator Model 55

3.4 Case Studies 62

3.4.1 Data Retrieval 62

3.5 Results and Discussion 65

3.5.1 Performance Indicators 65

3.5.2 Performances of Test Cases 70

3.5.3 An Example of Continuous Improvement and Operational Deployment: Implementation in Ireland 71

3.6 Conclusions 71

References 73

4 Building an Operational Decision Support System for Multiple Weather- Induced Health Hazards: ANYWHERE Developments and Future Applications 77
Claudia Di Napoli

4.1 Introduction 77

4.2 Heatwave Prediction in ANYWHERE 79

4.2.1 The Universal Thermal Climate Index 80

4.2.2 Forecasting Algorithms 80

4.2.3 Heatwave Products 81

4.2.4 Integration in the MH- EWS 81

4.2.5 Temperature Products 81

4.3 Air Pollution Prediction in ANYWHERE 83

4.3.1 Air Quality 83

4.3.2 Forecasting Algorithms 85

4.3.3 Air Quality Products 85

4.3.4 Integration in the MH- EWS 85

4.4 ANYWHERE MH- EWS in Action: The European 2017 Heatwave 86

4.5 Implementation at Pilot Sites 87

4.5.1 Integration of Local Heatwave and Air Pollution Products 90

4.5.2 Evaluation at Pilot Sites 92

4.6 Future Applications 93

4.6.1 Impact- Based Warnings 93

4.6.2 Multi- Hazard Forecasting 95