Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy

Herausgegeben:Surhone, Lambert M.; Timpledon, Miriam T.; Marseken, Susan F.

• Broschiertes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles available from Wikipedia or other free sources online. The Texas sharpshooter fallacy is a logical fallacy in which information that has no relationship is interpreted or manipulated until it appears to have meaning. The name comes from a joke about a Texan who fires some shots at the side of a barn, then paints a target centered on the biggest cluster of hits and claims to be a sharpshooter. The fallacy does not apply if one had an ex ante, or prior, expectation of the particular relationship in question before examining the data. For example one might, previous to examining the information, have in mind a specific physical mechanism implying the particular relationship. One could then use the information to give support or cast doubt on the presence of that mechanism. Alternatively, if additional information can be generated using the same process as the original information, one can use the original information to construct a hypothesis, and then test the hypothesis on the new data. See hypothesis testing. What one cannot do is use the same information to construct and test the same hypothesis to do so would be to commit the Texas sharpshooter fallacy.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: Betascript Publishing
• Seitenzahl: 116
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 220mm
• ISBN-13: 9786130919115
• ISBN-10: 6130919115
• Artikelnr.: 29906611