The Turnout Myth refutes the long and widely held convention that high voter participation advantages Democratic candidates while low involvement helps Republicans in national elections. This book examines over 50 years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. With a data-driven argument, Daron Shaw and John Petrocik demonstrate that the overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated.
The Turnout Myth refutes the long and widely held convention that high voter participation advantages Democratic candidates while low involvement helps Republicans in national elections. This book examines over 50 years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data to show there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout. With a data-driven argument, Daron Shaw and John Petrocik demonstrate that the overall relationship between the partisan vote and turnout for these offices is uncorrelated.Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
Daron Shaw is a Professor of Government at the University of Texas at Austin and co-director of the Fox News Poll, co-director of the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, director of the Texas Lyceum Poll, and associate Principle Investigator for the 2020 American National Election Study. He is author of The Race to 270 and co-author of Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford). John Petrocik is Professor Emeritus Political Science at the University of Missouri and worked as a consultant and strategist for political campaigns. He co-authored Unconventional Wisdom (Oxford) and The Changing American Voter, winner of the American Political Science Association's 1976 Woodrow Wilson Award, and is the author of Party Coalitions.
Inhaltsangabe
* Preface * Chapter 1: If Only Our People Had Turned Out! * Chapter 2: American Turnout: A History and Portrait * Chapter 3: A Theoretical Exploration of Voting and Turnout * Chapter 4: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Across States and Districts * Chapter 5: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Within States and Districts * Chapter 6: Congressional District Results: A Further Look * Chapter 7: Why Is the Conventional Wisdom Wrong? * Chapter 8: If Turnout isn't Driving Election Swings, What is? * Chapter 9: Some Final Data and Thoughts on the Turnout/Vote Choice Link * Appendices * References
* Preface * Chapter 1: If Only Our People Had Turned Out! * Chapter 2: American Turnout: A History and Portrait * Chapter 3: A Theoretical Exploration of Voting and Turnout * Chapter 4: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Across States and Districts * Chapter 5: Turnout and Partisan Vote Choice: Over Time and Within States and Districts * Chapter 6: Congressional District Results: A Further Look * Chapter 7: Why Is the Conventional Wisdom Wrong? * Chapter 8: If Turnout isn't Driving Election Swings, What is? * Chapter 9: Some Final Data and Thoughts on the Turnout/Vote Choice Link * Appendices * References
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