The Warming Papers
The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
Ed. by David Archer and Ray Pierrehumbert
The Warming Papers
The Scientific Foundation for the Climate Change Forecast
Ed. by David Archer and Ray Pierrehumbert
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Global warming is arguably the defining scientific issue of modern times, but it is not widely appreciated that the foundations of our understanding were laid almost two centuries ago with the postulation of a greenhouse effect by Fourier in 1827. The sensitivity of climate to changes in atmospheric CO2 was first estimated about one century ago, and the rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration was discovered half a century ago. The fundamentals of the science underlying the forecast for human-induced climate change were being published and debated long before the issue rose to public prominence…mehr
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The Warming Papers is a compendium of the classic scientific papers that constitute the foundation of the global warming forecast. The paper trail ranges from Fourier and Arrhenius in the 19th Century to Manabe and Hansen in modern times. Archer and Pierrehumbert provide introductions and commentary which places the papers in their context and provide students with tools to develop and extend their understanding of the subject.
The book captures the excitement and the uncertainty that always exist at the cutting edge of research, and is invaluable reading for students of climate science, scientists, historians of science, and others interested in climate change.
- Produktdetails
- Verlag: Wiley & Sons / Wiley-Blackwell
- 1. Auflage
- Seitenzahl: 432
- Erscheinungstermin: 18. Januar 2011
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 277mm x 218mm x 28mm
- Gewicht: 1570g
- ISBN-13: 9781405196178
- ISBN-10: 1405196173
- Artikelnr.: 30589507
- Herstellerkennzeichnung
- Libri GmbH
- Europaallee 1
- 36244 Bad Hersfeld
- 06621 890
- Verlag: Wiley & Sons / Wiley-Blackwell
- 1. Auflage
- Seitenzahl: 432
- Erscheinungstermin: 18. Januar 2011
- Englisch
- Abmessung: 277mm x 218mm x 28mm
- Gewicht: 1570g
- ISBN-13: 9781405196178
- ISBN-10: 1405196173
- Artikelnr.: 30589507
- Herstellerkennzeichnung
- Libri GmbH
- Europaallee 1
- 36244 Bad Hersfeld
- 06621 890
Temperatures of the Terrestrial Sphere and Interplanetary Space
(Jean-Baptiste Joseph Fourier (1824)). 2 Wagging the Dog. On the Absorption
and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connexion
of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction (John Tyndall (1861)). 3 By the
Light of the Silvery Moon. On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air
upon the Temperature of the Ground (Svante Arrhenius (1896)). 4 Radiative
Transfer. The Influence of the 15 m Carbon-dioxide Band on the Atmospheric
Infra-red Cooling Rate (G. N. Plass (1956)). 5 The Balance of Energy.
Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative
Humidity (Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald (1967)). The Effect of
Solar Radiation Variations on the Climate of the Earth (M. I. Budyko
(1968)). A Global Climatic Model Based on the Energy Balance of the
Earth-Atmosphere System (William D. Sellers (1968)). 6 The Birth of the
General Circulation Climate Model. The Effects of Doubling the
CO2Concentration on the Climate of a General Circulation Model (Syukuro
Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald (1975)). Climate Sensitivity: Analysis of
Feedback Mechanisms (J. Hansen, A. Lacis, D. Rind, G. Russell, P. Stone, I.
Fung, R. Ruedy, and J. Lerner (1984)). 7 Aerosols. Climate Response to
Increasing Levels of Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols (J. F. B.
Mitchell, T. C. Johns, J. M. Gregory and S. F. B. Tett (1995)). 8 Ocean
Heat Uptake and Committed Warming. Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation
and Implications (James Hansen, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato,
Josh Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Lacis, Ken Lo, Surabi
Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Perlwitz, Gary Russell, Gavin A. Schmidt and
Nicholas Tausnev (2005)). 9 Taking Earth's Temperature. Global Temperature
Variations Between 1861 and 1984 (P. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley and P. B.
Wright (1986)). Contribution of Stratospheric Cooling to Satellite-Inferred
Troposphoric Temperature Trends (Qiang Fu, Celeste M. Johanson, Stephen G.
Warren and Dian J. Seidel (2004)). Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During
the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations (Michael E.
Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes (1999)). 10 Ice Sheets and
Sea Level. Surface Melt-Induced Acceleration of Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow
(H. Jay Zwally, Waleed Abdalati, Tom Herring, Kristine Larson, Jack Saba
and Konrad Steffen (2002)). 11 The Public Statement. Man-Made Carbon
Dioxide and the "Greenhouse" Effect (J. S. Sawyer (1972)). Carbon Dioxide
and Climate: A Scientific Assessment (Jule G. Charney, Akio Arakawa, D.
James Baker, Bert Bolin, Robert E. Dickinson, Richard M. Goody, Cecil E.
Leith, Henry M. Stommel and Carl I. Wunsch (1979)). Part II The Carbon
Cycle. 12 The Sky is Rising! The Artificial Production of Carbon Dioxide
and its Influence on Temperature (G. S. Callendar (1938)). 13 Denial and
Acceptance. Carbon Dioxide Exchange Between Atmosphere and Ocean and the
Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO2during the Past Decades (Roger
Revelle and Hans E. Suess (1957)). Distribution of Matter in the Sea and
Atmosphere: Changes in the Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmosphere and Sea
due to Fossil Fuel Combustion (Bert Bolin and Erik Eriksson (1958)). 14
Bookends. The Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in
the Atmosphere (Charles D. Keeling (1960)). Is Carbon Dioxide from Fossil
Fuel Changing Man's Environment? (Charles D. Keeling (1970)). 15 One If by
Land. Changes of Land Biota and Their Importance for the Carbon Cycle (Bert
Bolin (1977)). Observational Constraints on the Global Atmospheric CO2
Budget (Pieter P. Tans, Inez Y. Fung and Taro Takahashi (1990)).
Acceleration of Global Warming Due to Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled
Climate Model (Peter M. Cox, Richard A. Betts, Chris D. Jones, Steven A.
Spall and Ian J. Totterdell (2000)). 16 Two If by Sea. Neutralization of
Fossil Fuel CO2 by Marine Calcium Carbonate (W. S. Broecker and T.
Takahashi (1977)). Effects of Fuel and Forest Conservation on Future Levels
of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (James C. G. Walker and James F. Kasting
(1992)). Abrupt Deep-Sea Warming, Palaeoceanographic Changes and Benthic
Extinctions at the End of the Palaeocene (J. P. Kennett and L. D. Stott
(1991)). 17 On Ocean pH. Anthropogenic Carbon and Ocean pH (Ken Caldeira
and Michael E. Wickett (2003)). Reduced Calcification of Marine Plankton in
Response to Increased Atmospheric CO2 (Ulf Riebesell, Ingrid Zondervan,
Björn Rost, Philippe D. Tortell, Richard E. Zeebe and François M. M. Morel
(2000)). 18 Tiny Bubbles. Evidence From Polar Ice Cores for the Increase in
Atmospheric CO2 in the Past Two Centuries (A. Neftel, E. Moor, H. Oeschger
and B. Stauffer (1985)). Vostok Ice Core Provides 160,000-Year Record of
Atmospheric CO2(J. M. Barnola, D. Raynaud, Y. S. Korotkevich and C. Lorius
(1987)). Index.
Temperatures of the Terrestrial Sphere and Interplanetary Space
(Jean-Baptiste Joseph Fourier (1824)). 2 Wagging the Dog. On the Absorption
and Radiation of Heat by Gases and Vapours, and on the Physical Connexion
of Radiation, Absorption, and Conduction (John Tyndall (1861)). 3 By the
Light of the Silvery Moon. On the Influence of Carbonic Acid in the Air
upon the Temperature of the Ground (Svante Arrhenius (1896)). 4 Radiative
Transfer. The Influence of the 15 m Carbon-dioxide Band on the Atmospheric
Infra-red Cooling Rate (G. N. Plass (1956)). 5 The Balance of Energy.
Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative
Humidity (Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald (1967)). The Effect of
Solar Radiation Variations on the Climate of the Earth (M. I. Budyko
(1968)). A Global Climatic Model Based on the Energy Balance of the
Earth-Atmosphere System (William D. Sellers (1968)). 6 The Birth of the
General Circulation Climate Model. The Effects of Doubling the
CO2Concentration on the Climate of a General Circulation Model (Syukuro
Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald (1975)). Climate Sensitivity: Analysis of
Feedback Mechanisms (J. Hansen, A. Lacis, D. Rind, G. Russell, P. Stone, I.
Fung, R. Ruedy, and J. Lerner (1984)). 7 Aerosols. Climate Response to
Increasing Levels of Greenhouse Gases and Sulphate Aerosols (J. F. B.
Mitchell, T. C. Johns, J. M. Gregory and S. F. B. Tett (1995)). 8 Ocean
Heat Uptake and Committed Warming. Earth's Energy Imbalance: Confirmation
and Implications (James Hansen, Larissa Nazarenko, Reto Ruedy, Makiko Sato,
Josh Willis, Anthony Del Genio, Dorothy Koch, Andrew Lacis, Ken Lo, Surabi
Menon, Tica Novakov, Judith Perlwitz, Gary Russell, Gavin A. Schmidt and
Nicholas Tausnev (2005)). 9 Taking Earth's Temperature. Global Temperature
Variations Between 1861 and 1984 (P. D. Jones, T. M. L. Wigley and P. B.
Wright (1986)). Contribution of Stratospheric Cooling to Satellite-Inferred
Troposphoric Temperature Trends (Qiang Fu, Celeste M. Johanson, Stephen G.
Warren and Dian J. Seidel (2004)). Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During
the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations (Michael E.
Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes (1999)). 10 Ice Sheets and
Sea Level. Surface Melt-Induced Acceleration of Greenland Ice-Sheet Flow
(H. Jay Zwally, Waleed Abdalati, Tom Herring, Kristine Larson, Jack Saba
and Konrad Steffen (2002)). 11 The Public Statement. Man-Made Carbon
Dioxide and the "Greenhouse" Effect (J. S. Sawyer (1972)). Carbon Dioxide
and Climate: A Scientific Assessment (Jule G. Charney, Akio Arakawa, D.
James Baker, Bert Bolin, Robert E. Dickinson, Richard M. Goody, Cecil E.
Leith, Henry M. Stommel and Carl I. Wunsch (1979)). Part II The Carbon
Cycle. 12 The Sky is Rising! The Artificial Production of Carbon Dioxide
and its Influence on Temperature (G. S. Callendar (1938)). 13 Denial and
Acceptance. Carbon Dioxide Exchange Between Atmosphere and Ocean and the
Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO2during the Past Decades (Roger
Revelle and Hans E. Suess (1957)). Distribution of Matter in the Sea and
Atmosphere: Changes in the Carbon Dioxide Content of the Atmosphere and Sea
due to Fossil Fuel Combustion (Bert Bolin and Erik Eriksson (1958)). 14
Bookends. The Concentration and Isotopic Abundances of Carbon Dioxide in
the Atmosphere (Charles D. Keeling (1960)). Is Carbon Dioxide from Fossil
Fuel Changing Man's Environment? (Charles D. Keeling (1970)). 15 One If by
Land. Changes of Land Biota and Their Importance for the Carbon Cycle (Bert
Bolin (1977)). Observational Constraints on the Global Atmospheric CO2
Budget (Pieter P. Tans, Inez Y. Fung and Taro Takahashi (1990)).
Acceleration of Global Warming Due to Carbon-Cycle Feedbacks in a Coupled
Climate Model (Peter M. Cox, Richard A. Betts, Chris D. Jones, Steven A.
Spall and Ian J. Totterdell (2000)). 16 Two If by Sea. Neutralization of
Fossil Fuel CO2 by Marine Calcium Carbonate (W. S. Broecker and T.
Takahashi (1977)). Effects of Fuel and Forest Conservation on Future Levels
of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide (James C. G. Walker and James F. Kasting
(1992)). Abrupt Deep-Sea Warming, Palaeoceanographic Changes and Benthic
Extinctions at the End of the Palaeocene (J. P. Kennett and L. D. Stott
(1991)). 17 On Ocean pH. Anthropogenic Carbon and Ocean pH (Ken Caldeira
and Michael E. Wickett (2003)). Reduced Calcification of Marine Plankton in
Response to Increased Atmospheric CO2 (Ulf Riebesell, Ingrid Zondervan,
Björn Rost, Philippe D. Tortell, Richard E. Zeebe and François M. M. Morel
(2000)). 18 Tiny Bubbles. Evidence From Polar Ice Cores for the Increase in
Atmospheric CO2 in the Past Two Centuries (A. Neftel, E. Moor, H. Oeschger
and B. Stauffer (1985)). Vostok Ice Core Provides 160,000-Year Record of
Atmospheric CO2(J. M. Barnola, D. Raynaud, Y. S. Korotkevich and C. Lorius
(1987)). Index.