Thinking about Doom - Zouev, Sasha
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How long do we have left until the human race goes extinct? The Doomsday Argument uses basic probability theory to give a forecast about how many more humans will exist by factoring in the number of humans that have already existed. Proponents of the argument suggest that it would be improbable for us to find ourselves somewhere near the start of the total existence of humankind. To this day, the prevailing consensus amongst those actively writing about the DA is that it still remains unrefuted, despite innumerable attempts in the literature to debunk it. This book provides a critical…mehr

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How long do we have left until the human race goes extinct? The Doomsday Argument uses basic probability theory to give a forecast about how many more humans will exist by factoring in the number of humans that have already existed. Proponents of the argument suggest that it would be improbable for us to find ourselves somewhere near the start of the total existence of humankind. To this day, the prevailing consensus amongst those actively writing about the DA is that it still remains unrefuted, despite innumerable attempts in the literature to debunk it. This book provides a critical assessment of the use of thought-experiments in DA rebuttals and argues that testing the DA empirically could yield more fruitful results.
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