Thinking and Deciding has established itself as a required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this, the third edition, Jonathan Baron delves further into many of the key questions addressed in the previous editions. For example, how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? Baron has also revised or expanded his treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, moral thinking, trust, utility measurement, and decision analysis and values. By emphasizing decision making, Baron has made Thinking and Deciding, Third Edition more relevant to researchers in applied fields, such as medicine, business, public policy, and law, while maintaining its appeal to graduate and undergraduate students.
Table of contents:
Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Good thinking: the nature of rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open minded thinking; Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice; 11. Description of choice under uncertainty; 12. Description of choice under certainty; 13. Utility measurement; 14. Decision analysis and values; 15. Quantitative judgment; 16. Moral thinking; 17. Fairness and justice; 18. Social dilemmas; 19. Decisions about the future; 20. Risk.
Thinking and Deciding has established itself as a required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. By emphasizing decision making, Baron has made Thinking and Deciding more relevant to researchers in applied fields while maintaining its appeal to graduate and undergraduate students.
Jonathan Baron has updated and expanded his classic textbook Thinking and Deciding.
Table of contents:
Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Good thinking: the nature of rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open minded thinking; Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice; 11. Description of choice under uncertainty; 12. Description of choice under certainty; 13. Utility measurement; 14. Decision analysis and values; 15. Quantitative judgment; 16. Moral thinking; 17. Fairness and justice; 18. Social dilemmas; 19. Decisions about the future; 20. Risk.
Thinking and Deciding has established itself as a required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. By emphasizing decision making, Baron has made Thinking and Deciding more relevant to researchers in applied fields while maintaining its appeal to graduate and undergraduate students.
Jonathan Baron has updated and expanded his classic textbook Thinking and Deciding.