The authors develop a theoretical framework to explain how and when public and non-public warnings about future conflicts affect decision-making in Western states and international organisations. For scholars and practitioners working on conflict prevention, strategic surprise, and advocacy in peace, intelligence and communication studies.
The authors develop a theoretical framework to explain how and when public and non-public warnings about future conflicts affect decision-making in Western states and international organisations. For scholars and practitioners working on conflict prevention, strategic surprise, and advocacy in peace, intelligence and communication studies.
Christoph O. Meyer is Professor of European and International Politics at King's College London. He is the author of The Quest for a European Strategic Culture (2007) and the editor (with Chiara De Franco) of Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks (2011). Meyer is currently co-leading an ESRC-funded project on learning and intelligence use in UK, German and EU foreign policy.
Inhaltsangabe
1. Conflict warnings as persuasion attempts 2. A theory of conflict warning as persuasion in foreign policy 3. Inside-up warnings within states and international organisations 4. Outside-in warnings I: persuasion by NGOs 5. Outside-in warnings II: persuasion by journalists and media organisations 6. (Mis-)identifying warnings and the problem of hindsight bias: the case of the Rwandan Genocide 7. What makes individual officials persuasive warners? The case of the 2004 Darfur crisis 8. Explaining differences in persuasiveness: the EU members states and the 2008 Five-Day War in Georgia 9. Warning within EU institutions and the Ukrainian-Russian conflict of 2013-14 10. When are warnings heeded and what can warners do? References Index.
1. Conflict warnings as persuasion attempts 2. A theory of conflict warning as persuasion in foreign policy 3. Inside-up warnings within states and international organisations 4. Outside-in warnings I: persuasion by NGOs 5. Outside-in warnings II: persuasion by journalists and media organisations 6. (Mis-)identifying warnings and the problem of hindsight bias: the case of the Rwandan Genocide 7. What makes individual officials persuasive warners? The case of the 2004 Darfur crisis 8. Explaining differences in persuasiveness: the EU members states and the 2008 Five-Day War in Georgia 9. Warning within EU institutions and the Ukrainian-Russian conflict of 2013-14 10. When are warnings heeded and what can warners do? References Index.
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