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As wind is an intermittent generation resource and weather changes can cause large and rapid changes in output, system operators will need accurate and robust wind energy forecasting systems in the future. Rapid changes of wind generation relative to load require rapid dispatching of generation and transmission resources to balance generation versus load, regulate voltage and frequency, and maintain system performance within the limits established by National Grid. Wind energy forecasts can help the energy network operator to anticipate rapid changes of wind energy generation versus load and…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
As wind is an intermittent generation resource and
weather changes can cause large and rapid changes in
output, system operators will need accurate and
robust wind energy forecasting systems in the future.
Rapid changes of wind generation relative to load
require rapid dispatching of generation and
transmission resources to balance generation versus
load, regulate voltage and frequency, and maintain
system performance within the limits established by
National Grid. Wind energy forecasts can help the
energy network operator to anticipate rapid changes
of wind energy generation versus load and to make the
decisions. The study has been done for ANN and also
with the combination of ANN and GA for short term
wind power forecasting of wind power plants. The
performance of these developed forecasting models
have been tested and analyzed with wind power data
available from the operational records of wind power
plants. The results show that the combination of ANN
and GA model does wind power output forecasting very
well except during the gust. This forecasting model
can also be implemented in different time-scales,
which will help wind energy trading in the open
electricity markets.
Autorenporträt
Dr Mohan Kolhe is with School of Engineering, Physics and
Mathematics of the University of Dundee, UK.
E-mail: M.L.Kolhe@dundee.ac.uk

Tzu Chao Lin is with the Taiwan Power Company, Taiwan.
E-mail: u772020@taipower.com.tw

Dr Jussi Maunuksela is with the University of Jyvaskyla, Finland.
E-mail: jussi.o.maunuksela@jyu.fi