Bayesian Models is an essential primer for non-statisticians. It begins with a definition of probability and develops a step-by-step sequence of connected ideas, including basic distribution theory, network diagrams, hierarchical models, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and inference from single and multiple models. This unique book places less emphasis on computer coding, favoring instead a concise presentation of the mathematical statistics needed to understand how and why Bayesian analysis works. It also explains how to write out properly formulated hierarchical Bayesian models and use them in computing, research papers, and proposals.
This primer enables ecologists to understand the statistical principles behind Bayesian modeling and apply them to research, teaching, policy, and management.
- Presents the mathematical and statistical foundations of Bayesian modeling in language accessible to non-statisticians
- Covers basic distribution theory, network diagrams, hierarchical models, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and more
- Deemphasizes computer coding in favor of basic principles
- Explains how to write out properly factored statistical expressions representing Bayesian models
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