Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad

eBook, PDF

Clear Thinking (eBook, PDF)

Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers

Beschreibung

This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.

Technische Details

• Geräte: PC
• ohne Kopierschutz
• Größe: 13.86MB

Barrierefreiheit

• Text-to-Speech
• E-Mail des Verlags für Barrierefreiheitsfragen: [e-mail]
• Alle Inhalte über Screenreader oder taktile Geräte zugänglich
• Navigation über vor-/zurück-Elemente ohne Inhaltsverzeichnis
• Hoher Kontrast zwischen Text und Hintergrund (min. 4.5 =>1)
• Inhalte verständlich ohne Farbwahrnehmung
• Kurze Alternativtexte für nicht-textuelle Inhalte vorhanden
• Text und Medien in logischer Lesereihenfolge angeordnet
• Navigierbares Inhaltsverzeichnis für direkten Zugriff auf Text und Medien
• Keine Einschränkung der Vorlesefunktionen, außer bei spezifischen Ausnahmen

Autor

Randolph H. Pherson was Co-Founder and Managing Director of Pherson Associates, LLC and CEO of Globalytica, LLC. He had taught advanced analytic techniques and critical thinking skills to analysts in most US Intelligence Community agencies, in ten of the Fortune 100 companies, and in many countries around the world including the UK, Italy, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Romania, Australia, Saudi Arabia, and Hong Kong.

Ole Donner is the founder of "Strukturierte Analyse Deutschland" (Structured Analysis Germany) and in this position acts as a trainer and consultant for governmental institutions such as the Criminal Police, intergovernmental organizations such as NATO as well as national and international companies with the aim of enhancing their intelligence and analysis capabilities. Mr. Donner is also a Research Fellow at the Institute for Intelligence and Security Management (I2SM) at the NBS Northern Business School.

Oliver Gnad is the founder and managing director of the "Bureau fuer Zeitgeschehen" (Bureau of Current Affairs), a Frankfurt-based think-and-do-tank specialised in strategic foresight and scenario planning. He is a Senior Non-Resident Fellow of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, lecturer at the Berlin-based Hertie School and certified by Pherson Associates, LLC as a Senior Instructor of Structured Analytic Techniques.

Produktdetails

• Verlag: Springer International Publishing
• Seitenzahl: 243
• Erscheinungstermin: 28. Februar 2024
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9783031487668
• Artikelnr.: 70121907