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In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring. The goal, must be for all sides to regard such a US-China conflict as 'inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable'.
In this Adelphi book, Bill Emmott evaluates the diplomatic and deterrence strategies that countries in and outside the Indo-Pacific region are using to try to reduce the risk of that conflict occurring. The goal, must be for all sides to regard such a US-China conflict as 'inevitably catastrophic and therefore inconceivable'.
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Autorenporträt
Bill Emmott is Chairman of the IISS Trustees and an independent writer and consultant. He spent 26 years at The Economist, which he joined in 1980, working as a correspondent and editor in Brussels, Tokyo and London, on subjects ranging from politics to finance, economics and business. In 1993, he was appointed editor-in-chief, a post he held for 13 years before stepping down in 2006.
He is Senior Adviser, Geopolitics for Montrose Associates, Chair of the Japan Society of the UK, an Ushioda Fellow of Tokyo College, University of Tokyo, Chair of the International Trade Institute, a trustee of the Chester Beatty Library, and a member of the Comitato Scientifico of the Centro Einaudi in Turin. He writes for La Stampa in Italy, Nikkei Business and the Mainichi Shimbun in Japan, and occasionally for the Financial Times. He is the author of numerous books on Japan, Asia, Italy and the West, his latest being The Fate of the West (Profile, 2017) and Japan's Far More Female Future: Increasing Gender Equality and Reducing Workplace Insecurity Will Make Japan Stronger (Oxford University Press, 2020).
Inhaltsangabe
Author Acknowledgements Map 1: Taiwan and its surrounding region Introduction: Danger, hiding in plain sight Chapter One: Why Indo-Pacific deterrence matters Why the stakes in Taiwan are so high The conflict to be deterred Chapter Two: Deterrence lessons from Ukraine Eight lessons from Ukraine Specific implications for China Specific implications for Taiwan Specific implications for the United States Chapter Three: Yardsticks for deterrence A world in flux Rationality without MADness An unstable status quo Yardsticks for Indo-Pacific deterrence Chapter Four: Consistent America, inconstant America Political will: consistency and clarity of deterrence messages Military capability and coalition credibility The narrative yardstick Chapter Five: Taiwan and its predicament Military resilience Civil resilience Narrative clarity Chapter Six: Coercive China, deterrent China Deterring an intervention Controlling the nuclear risk Controlling the narrative Chapter Seven: Allies and partners: the role of Japan Japan, from self-defence to constrained deterrence Constrained but speedy? Many unanswered questions Chapter Eight: The Philippines, Australia and other partners The Philippines as an unsinkable logistics centre Australia: far away but now committed Other allies and bystanders, near and far ASEAN non-centrality Limits to the ASEAN way Dreaming of a more balanced region Conclusion: Nostalgic for Cold War realism Needed: the good aspect of Cold War diplomacy Notes Index
Author Acknowledgements Map 1: Taiwan and its surrounding region Introduction: Danger, hiding in plain sight Chapter One: Why Indo-Pacific deterrence matters Why the stakes in Taiwan are so high The conflict to be deterred Chapter Two: Deterrence lessons from Ukraine Eight lessons from Ukraine Specific implications for China Specific implications for Taiwan Specific implications for the United States Chapter Three: Yardsticks for deterrence A world in flux Rationality without MADness An unstable status quo Yardsticks for Indo-Pacific deterrence Chapter Four: Consistent America, inconstant America Political will: consistency and clarity of deterrence messages Military capability and coalition credibility The narrative yardstick Chapter Five: Taiwan and its predicament Military resilience Civil resilience Narrative clarity Chapter Six: Coercive China, deterrent China Deterring an intervention Controlling the nuclear risk Controlling the narrative Chapter Seven: Allies and partners: the role of Japan Japan, from self-defence to constrained deterrence Constrained but speedy? Many unanswered questions Chapter Eight: The Philippines, Australia and other partners The Philippines as an unsinkable logistics centre Australia: far away but now committed Other allies and bystanders, near and far ASEAN non-centrality Limits to the ASEAN way Dreaming of a more balanced region Conclusion: Nostalgic for Cold War realism Needed: the good aspect of Cold War diplomacy Notes Index
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