Dynamics and Predictability of Large-Scale, High-Impact Weather and Climate Events (eBook, PDF)

Redaktion: Li, Jianping

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

Based largely on an International Commission on Dynamical Meteorology (ICDM) workshop, this timely volume, written by leading researchers in the field, covers a range of important research issues related to high-impact weather and extreme climate events. Dynamical linkages between these extremes and various atmospheric and ocean phenomena are examined, including Atlantic Multidecadal, North Atlantic, and Madden-Julian Oscillations; Annular Modes; tropical cyclones; and Asian monsoons. This book also examines the predictability of high-impact weather and extreme climate events on multiple time scales. Highlighting recent research and new advances in the field, this book enhances understanding of dynamical and physical processes associated with these events to help managers and policy makers make informed decisions to manage risk and prevent or mitigate disasters. It also provides guidance on future research directions in atmospheric science, meteorology, climate science, and weather forecasting, for experts and young scientists.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Erscheinungstermin: 24. März 2016
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781316468746
• Artikelnr.: 44877929

Inhaltsangabe

Preface; Acknowledgements; List of contributors; Part I. Diagnostics and
Prediction of High-Impact Weather: 1. Global prediction of high-impact
weather: diagnosis and performance Mark Rodwell and Alan Thorpe; 2. Severe
weather diagnosis from the perspective of generalized slantwise vorticity
development Guoxiong Wu, Yongjun Zheng and Yimin Liu; 3. Probabilistic
extreme event attribution Pardeep Pall, Michael Wehner and Dáithí Stone; 4.
Observed and projected changes in temperature and precipitation extremes
Xuebin Zhang and Francis Zwiers; Part II. High-Impact Weather in
Mid-Latitudes: 5. Rossby wave breaking: climatology, interaction with
low-frequency climate variability, and links to extreme weather events
Olivia Martius and Gwendal Rivière; 6. The influence of jet stream regime
on extreme weather events Nili Harnik, Chaim Garfinkel and Orli Lachmy; 7.
Forecasting high-impact weather using ensemble prediction systems Richard
Swinbank, Petra Friederichs and Sabrina Wahl; 8. Storm tracks, blocking and
climate change: a review Tim Woollings; 9. The North Atlantic and Arctic
Oscillations: climate variability, extremes and stratosphere troposphere
interaction Adam A. Scaife; Part III. Tropical Cyclones: 10. Opportunities
and challenges in dynamical and predictability studies of tropical cyclone
events Russell L. Elsberry and Hsiao-Chung Tsai; 11. Predictability of
severe weather and tropical cyclones at the mesoscales Fuqing Zhang,
Christopher Melhauser, Dandan Tao, Y. Qiang Sun, Erin B. Munsell, Yonghui
Weng and Jason A. Sippel; 12. Dynamics, predictability, and high-impact
weather associated with the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones
Patrick Harr and Heather M. Archambault; 13. Secondary eyewall formation in
tropical cyclones Chun-Chieh Wu, Yi-Hsuan Huang and Zhe-Min Tan; 14.
Seasonal forecasting of floods and tropical cyclones Tom Beer and Oscar
Alves; Part IV. Heat-Waves and Cold-Air Outbreaks: 15. European heat waves:
the effect of soil moisture, vegetation and land use Fabio D'Andrea,
Philippe Drobinski and Marc Stéfanon; 16. Western North American extreme
heat, associated large scale synoptic-dynamics, and performance by a
climate model Richard Grotjahn; 17. Decadel to interdecadel variations of
Northern China heatwave frequency: impact of the Tibetan Plateau snow cover
Zhiwei Wu and Jianping Li; 18. Global warming targets and heatwave risk
Robin Clark; 19. Cold-air outbreaks over East Asia associated with blocking
highs: mechanisms and their interaction with the polar stratosphere Hisashi
Nakamura, Kazuaki Nishii, Lin Wang, Yvan J. Orsolini and Koutarou Takaya;
Part V. Ocean Connections: 20. Response of the Atlantic Ocean circulation
to North Atlantic freshwater perturbations Henk A. Dijkstra; 21. Key role
of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in twentieth-century drought and wet
periods over the US Great Plains and the Sahel Sumant Nigam and Alfredo
Ruiz-Barradas; 22. Floods and droughts along the Guinea Coast in connection
with the South Atlantic Dipole Hyacinth C. Nnamchi and Jianping Li; 23. The
effect of global dynamical factors on the interannual variability of
land-based rainfall Peter G. Baines and Benjamin J. Henley; 24. MJO and
extreme weather and climate events Chidong Zhang; Part VI. Asian Monsoons:
25. Extreme weather and seasonal events during the Indian summer monsoon
and prospects of improvement in their prediction skill under India's
monsoon mission D. R. Sikka; 26. Interannual variability and predictability
of summer climate over the Northwest Pacific and East Asia Shang-Ping Xie
and Yu Kosaka; 27. Impacts of Annular Modes on extreme climate events over
the East Asian monsoon region Jianping Li; Index.