The book reviews historical attempts at earthquake prediction, highlighting both successes and failures to provide valuable lessons. It also examines statistical methods for seismic risk assessment, emphasizing the importance of focusing on long-term probabilities rather than short-term forecasts. Earthquake Prediction Limits progresses from fundamental earthquake science to the application of statistical methods, culminating in a discussion of the societal implications of earthquake prediction and risk communication.
Ultimately, the book argues for a pragmatic approach to disaster preparedness, focusing on robust building codes and public education.
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