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Models of geological objects are tools for interpolation and extrapolation of available data in space and time continuously. Real structures of the objects are unknown, and their models and simulated results carry uncertainty which cannot be evaluated in a provable way. The real issue is obtaining effective predictions in a reasonably defined sense. This requires a knowledge of mechanisms that convert actual geological properties into effective model parameters. These mechanisms are introduced in the book. They reveal that effective parameters are not statistics but characteristics optimizing…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
Models of geological objects are tools for interpolation and extrapolation of available data in space and time continuously. Real structures of the objects are unknown, and their models and simulated results carry uncertainty which cannot be evaluated in a provable way. The real issue is obtaining effective predictions in a reasonably defined sense. This requires a knowledge of mechanisms that convert actual geological properties into effective model parameters. These mechanisms are introduced in the book. They reveal that effective parameters are not statistics but characteristics optimizing the system made up by geological surroundings, their models, predictive problem formulations, including mathematical models of the simulated processes, boundary conditions, monitoring networks, criteria of efficiency and even by time. Examples of evaluating and applying transformation for assigning effective parameters and solving inverse problems are presented.

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Rezensionen
From the reviews of the second edition:
"An excellent introduction to hydrogeological models and the variety of methods to treat uncertainty surrounding models. ... This book provides an alternative way of treating model uncertainties, which, in my opinion, is a great contribution to the hydrogeological community. ... The active voice is used throughout the book; reading is like the author telling stories, making the book intelligible and entertaining. ... I highly recommend this excellent book to anyone who has an interest in hydrogeology and numerical modeling." (Peiyue Li, Environmental Processes, April, 2014)