James M. Joyce

Foundations of Causal Decision Theory (eBook, PDF)

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Erscheinungstermin: 13. April 1999
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9780511402760
• Artikelnr.: 38193527

Inhaltsangabe

Preface
Introduction: a chance to reconsider
1. Prudential rationality as expected utility maximization
2. Decision problems
3. Savage's theory
4. Evidential decision theory
5. Causal decision theory
6. A general theory of conditional beliefs
7. A representation theorem for causal decision theory
8. Where things stand
Notes
References.