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The definitive introduction to FOREX trading
Getting Started in Currency Trading, Fourth Edition is both an introduction and a reference manual for beginning and intermediate traders. Starting with a description of the Foreign Exchange (FOREX) market and a brief history, the book includes an invaluable section made up of relevant FOREX terms clearly defined using examples. The FOREX market has grown substantially and evolved dramatically in recent years, and this new edition is designed to help the reader to adapt and take advantage of these changes.
Including coverage of how to open a…mehr
- Geräte: PC
- eBook Hilfe
The definitive introduction to FOREX trading
Getting Started in Currency Trading, Fourth Edition is both an introduction and a reference manual for beginning and intermediate traders. Starting with a description of the Foreign Exchange (FOREX) market and a brief history, the book includes an invaluable section made up of relevant FOREX terms clearly defined using examples. The FOREX market has grown substantially and evolved dramatically in recent years, and this new edition is designed to help the reader to adapt and take advantage of these changes.
Including coverage of how to open a trading account, a step-by-step walk through the physical processes of placing and liquidating currency orders, and information on trading strategy and tactics complete with fundamental and technical analysis, the book has everything needed to assist the trader in the decision making process.
This new edition of Getting Started in Currency Trading contains significant new information, including a chapter on computers and FOREX, managed FOREX, and new information about regulation, alongside the author's successful trading plan, designed to help the reader put it all together.
Getting Started in Currency Trading, Fourth Edition is both an introduction and a reference manual for beginning and intermediate traders. Starting with a description of the Foreign Exchange (FOREX) market and a brief history, the book includes an invaluable section made up of relevant FOREX terms clearly defined using examples. The FOREX market has grown substantially and evolved dramatically in recent years, and this new edition is designed to help the reader to adapt and take advantage of these changes.
Including coverage of how to open a trading account, a step-by-step walk through the physical processes of placing and liquidating currency orders, and information on trading strategy and tactics complete with fundamental and technical analysis, the book has everything needed to assist the trader in the decision making process.
- New edition is revised and expanded to take into account all of the recent changes in the currency market
- Now includes a step-by-step introduction for the new trader and additional material on regulation
- FOREX arithmetic calculations are presented in a clear, easy to understand way
- Recommendations, guidelines, and caveats appear throughout the book
This new edition of Getting Started in Currency Trading contains significant new information, including a chapter on computers and FOREX, managed FOREX, and new information about regulation, alongside the author's successful trading plan, designed to help the reader put it all together.
Produktdetails
- Produktdetails
- Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
- Erscheinungstermin: 27. April 2012
- Englisch
- ISBN-13: 9781118284933
- Artikelnr.: 38253493
- Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
- Erscheinungstermin: 27. April 2012
- Englisch
- ISBN-13: 9781118284933
- Artikelnr.: 38253493
MICHAEL DUANE ARCHER has been an active futures and FOREX trader for over thirty-five years. He has worked in various advisory capacities, notably as a commodity trading advisor, registered SEC investment advisor, and branch manager for Heinold of Hawaii. Archer currently trades and is involved in several technical analysis research projects. He hosts the FOREX website www.goodmanworks.com.
Acknowledgments xix
Introduction
About This Book xxi
Part 1 The Foreign Exchange Markets
Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3
Introduction—What is FOREX? 3
What is a Spot Market? 4
Which Currencies Are Traded? 4
Who Trades on the Foreign Exchange? 5
How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6
When Do Currencies Trade? 8
How is Money Made in FOREX? 8
Why Trade Foreign Currencies? 9
What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13
What Does It Cost to Trade Currencies? 13
FOREX versus Equities 14
FOREX versus Futures 14
Summary 15
Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17
Introduction 17
Ancient Times 17
The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18
The Federal Reserve 18
Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20
The Bretton Woods System, 1944 to 1973 21
The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating Exchange Rates 21
International Monetary Market 22
Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23
The CFTC and the NFA 25
Summary 25
Chapter 3 Five FOREX Markets 27
Introduction—Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread Betting 27
Currency Futures 29
Contract Specifications 29
Currencies Trading Volume 30
U.S. Dollar Index 30
Volume and Open Interest 31
Where to Trade Currency Futures 33
FOREX Futures 33
Summary 33
Chapter 4 Regulation: Past, Present, and Future 35
Introduction 35
Regulation in the FOREX Market 35
Regulation Past 36
Regulation Present 39
Regulation Future 43
Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started
Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47
Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47
Major and Minor Currencies 48
Cross Currency 48
Exotic Currency 48
Base Currency 48
Quote Currency 49
Pips 49
Ticks 49
Margin 50
Leverage 51
Bid Price 52
Ask Price 52
Bid-Ask Spread 52
Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53
Transaction Cost 53
Rollovers 54
Correlation 54
Summary 55
Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57
Introduction 57
Pips 58
Profit and Loss 59
Margin 60
Leverage 62
The Bid-Ask Spread 62
Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66
Summary 66
Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading Platforms 69
Introduction 69
Trading Platform Features 71
More Trading Platforms 79
Professional FX Platforms 80
Trading Platform Checklist 81
A Kid in the Candy Store 82
Summary 82
Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83
Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84
Demo Accounts 85
Market Maker or ECN? 86
Costs 87
Liquidity Providers 89
Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91
Financial Stability 91
Complaint and Error Resolution 92
Account Options 92
Games Brokers Play 93
Top Broker-Dealers 93
Popular Broker-Dealers 99
The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100
For the Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101
Spread Betting 102
Fraud, Scams, and Off-Exchange 103
Broker-Dealer Checklist 103
Summary 103
Chapter 9 How to Open a FOREX Account 105
Introduction 105
The Demo Account 106
The Live Account 107
Redundancy 111
Summary 113
Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115
Orders 115
Market Orders 117
Limit Orders 118
Stop Orders 118
Combination Orders 121
Specialty Orders 121
Order Placement 121
Order Execution 122
Order Confirmation 123
Open Orders 123
Open a Demo Account 124
Summary 125
Part 3 The Trader’s Arsenal
Chapter 11 The FOREX Marketplace 129
Introduction 129
Portals and Forums 130
Broker-Dealer Reviews 133
Educational Resources 133
News and Calendars 135
Management Tools 136
System Development Tools 137
Data Services 140
Programming Services 142
Advisory Services 142
References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145
Summary 146
Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147
Introduction 147
Bar Charts 148
Trendlines 151
Support and Resistance 151
Recognizing Chart Patterns 152
Reversal Patterns 152
Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155
Point and Figure Charts 157
Charting Caveat—Prediction versus Description 160
Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161
Momentum Analysis 163
Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165
Indicator Caveat—Curve-Fit Data 167
Wave and Swing Analysis 169
Cycle Analysis 170
Trading Systems 171
The Technician’s Creed 171
The Technician’s Caveat 171
Summary 172
Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173
Fundamental Analysis 174
Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175
A Fundamental Discussion 181
FOREX News 186
Key News Releases 186
Reality versus Expectation 187
News Trading 187
Shockwave Analysis 189
Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189
Summary 191
Part 4 Winning is the Name of the Game
Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195
Introduction 195
Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196
Trading Profiles 199
Selecting a Trading Profile 201
The Market as a Process 202
Summary 203
Chapter 15 Setting Up Shop 205
Introduction 205
The Plan Components 206
The Trading Platform Plan 207
Pre-Trade Plan 209
Trading Session Plan 212
Pulling the Trigger 213
Post-Trade Plan 214
Summary 216
Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217
General Principles 218
A KIS Toolbox 219
A Simple System 220
Not So Simple 227
Pairs to Trade 228
Summary 228
Part 5 The Goodman Method of Trading
Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231
Introduction 231
The Basic Market Paradigm 232
Goodman Wave Theory 234
The Basic Goodman Setup 243
Summary 244
Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245
Introduction 245
The PTS 245
Summary 251
Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253
The Belgian Dentist 254
Enter the Dagger 254
Waltzing the Trade 257
The Line! The Line! 264
Summary 267
Chapter 20 The Proactive Trader 269
Introduction 269
Laydowns 270
Bathtub Analysis 271
The Propagation Lens 272
Looking Inward and Outward 273
Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276
Ghost Trading 277
Sitting On Your Hands 278
Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281
Introduction 281
Capital Allocation 282
The Tracks of Your Trades 286
Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288
Characteristics of Successful Traders 291
Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295
Goodmanisms 295
Summary 298
Part 6 Over the FOREX Rainbow
Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301
Introduction 301
Techniques 302
Time Studies 315
Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317
Summary 318
Chapter 24 Options and Exotics 321
Introduction 321
Options 322
A Primer on Options 322
Basic Options Terms 323
Options: Pros and Cons 324
The Four Basic Options Strategies 325
Purchase or Write Options? 325
Advanced Options Strategies 326
The Greeks 326
The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328
Risk Management with Options 328
Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332
Summary 332
Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335
Introduction 335
Why Managed FOREX? 336
Pros and Cons 336
Types of Managers 337
Types of Managed Accounts 338
Trading Methods 340
Performance Analysis 342
Two Methods of Performance Analysis 345
The Due Diligence Process 346
Costs and Fees 350
Spotlight on Managers 352
Research and Resources 354
Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357
Introduction 357
Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358
Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359
Get on My Cloud 359
High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360
Into the Future of FOREX 362
The Trend Machine 363
Grid and Pac Man Programs 364
Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370
Summary 371
Appendix A: List of World Currencies and Symbols 373
Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading Hours 379
Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381
Appendix D: Resources 385
Glossary 389
About the Author 403
Index 405
Introduction
About This Book xxi
Part 1 The Foreign Exchange Markets
Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3
Introduction—What is FOREX? 3
What is a Spot Market? 4
Which Currencies Are Traded? 4
Who Trades on the Foreign Exchange? 5
How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6
When Do Currencies Trade? 8
How is Money Made in FOREX? 8
Why Trade Foreign Currencies? 9
What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13
What Does It Cost to Trade Currencies? 13
FOREX versus Equities 14
FOREX versus Futures 14
Summary 15
Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17
Introduction 17
Ancient Times 17
The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18
The Federal Reserve 18
Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20
The Bretton Woods System, 1944 to 1973 21
The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating Exchange Rates 21
International Monetary Market 22
Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23
The CFTC and the NFA 25
Summary 25
Chapter 3 Five FOREX Markets 27
Introduction—Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread Betting 27
Currency Futures 29
Contract Specifications 29
Currencies Trading Volume 30
U.S. Dollar Index 30
Volume and Open Interest 31
Where to Trade Currency Futures 33
FOREX Futures 33
Summary 33
Chapter 4 Regulation: Past, Present, and Future 35
Introduction 35
Regulation in the FOREX Market 35
Regulation Past 36
Regulation Present 39
Regulation Future 43
Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started
Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47
Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47
Major and Minor Currencies 48
Cross Currency 48
Exotic Currency 48
Base Currency 48
Quote Currency 49
Pips 49
Ticks 49
Margin 50
Leverage 51
Bid Price 52
Ask Price 52
Bid-Ask Spread 52
Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53
Transaction Cost 53
Rollovers 54
Correlation 54
Summary 55
Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57
Introduction 57
Pips 58
Profit and Loss 59
Margin 60
Leverage 62
The Bid-Ask Spread 62
Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66
Summary 66
Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading Platforms 69
Introduction 69
Trading Platform Features 71
More Trading Platforms 79
Professional FX Platforms 80
Trading Platform Checklist 81
A Kid in the Candy Store 82
Summary 82
Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83
Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84
Demo Accounts 85
Market Maker or ECN? 86
Costs 87
Liquidity Providers 89
Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91
Financial Stability 91
Complaint and Error Resolution 92
Account Options 92
Games Brokers Play 93
Top Broker-Dealers 93
Popular Broker-Dealers 99
The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100
For the Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101
Spread Betting 102
Fraud, Scams, and Off-Exchange 103
Broker-Dealer Checklist 103
Summary 103
Chapter 9 How to Open a FOREX Account 105
Introduction 105
The Demo Account 106
The Live Account 107
Redundancy 111
Summary 113
Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115
Orders 115
Market Orders 117
Limit Orders 118
Stop Orders 118
Combination Orders 121
Specialty Orders 121
Order Placement 121
Order Execution 122
Order Confirmation 123
Open Orders 123
Open a Demo Account 124
Summary 125
Part 3 The Trader’s Arsenal
Chapter 11 The FOREX Marketplace 129
Introduction 129
Portals and Forums 130
Broker-Dealer Reviews 133
Educational Resources 133
News and Calendars 135
Management Tools 136
System Development Tools 137
Data Services 140
Programming Services 142
Advisory Services 142
References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145
Summary 146
Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147
Introduction 147
Bar Charts 148
Trendlines 151
Support and Resistance 151
Recognizing Chart Patterns 152
Reversal Patterns 152
Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155
Point and Figure Charts 157
Charting Caveat—Prediction versus Description 160
Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161
Momentum Analysis 163
Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165
Indicator Caveat—Curve-Fit Data 167
Wave and Swing Analysis 169
Cycle Analysis 170
Trading Systems 171
The Technician’s Creed 171
The Technician’s Caveat 171
Summary 172
Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173
Fundamental Analysis 174
Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175
A Fundamental Discussion 181
FOREX News 186
Key News Releases 186
Reality versus Expectation 187
News Trading 187
Shockwave Analysis 189
Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189
Summary 191
Part 4 Winning is the Name of the Game
Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195
Introduction 195
Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196
Trading Profiles 199
Selecting a Trading Profile 201
The Market as a Process 202
Summary 203
Chapter 15 Setting Up Shop 205
Introduction 205
The Plan Components 206
The Trading Platform Plan 207
Pre-Trade Plan 209
Trading Session Plan 212
Pulling the Trigger 213
Post-Trade Plan 214
Summary 216
Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217
General Principles 218
A KIS Toolbox 219
A Simple System 220
Not So Simple 227
Pairs to Trade 228
Summary 228
Part 5 The Goodman Method of Trading
Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231
Introduction 231
The Basic Market Paradigm 232
Goodman Wave Theory 234
The Basic Goodman Setup 243
Summary 244
Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245
Introduction 245
The PTS 245
Summary 251
Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253
The Belgian Dentist 254
Enter the Dagger 254
Waltzing the Trade 257
The Line! The Line! 264
Summary 267
Chapter 20 The Proactive Trader 269
Introduction 269
Laydowns 270
Bathtub Analysis 271
The Propagation Lens 272
Looking Inward and Outward 273
Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276
Ghost Trading 277
Sitting On Your Hands 278
Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281
Introduction 281
Capital Allocation 282
The Tracks of Your Trades 286
Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288
Characteristics of Successful Traders 291
Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295
Goodmanisms 295
Summary 298
Part 6 Over the FOREX Rainbow
Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301
Introduction 301
Techniques 302
Time Studies 315
Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317
Summary 318
Chapter 24 Options and Exotics 321
Introduction 321
Options 322
A Primer on Options 322
Basic Options Terms 323
Options: Pros and Cons 324
The Four Basic Options Strategies 325
Purchase or Write Options? 325
Advanced Options Strategies 326
The Greeks 326
The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328
Risk Management with Options 328
Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332
Summary 332
Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335
Introduction 335
Why Managed FOREX? 336
Pros and Cons 336
Types of Managers 337
Types of Managed Accounts 338
Trading Methods 340
Performance Analysis 342
Two Methods of Performance Analysis 345
The Due Diligence Process 346
Costs and Fees 350
Spotlight on Managers 352
Research and Resources 354
Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357
Introduction 357
Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358
Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359
Get on My Cloud 359
High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360
Into the Future of FOREX 362
The Trend Machine 363
Grid and Pac Man Programs 364
Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370
Summary 371
Appendix A: List of World Currencies and Symbols 373
Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading Hours 379
Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381
Appendix D: Resources 385
Glossary 389
About the Author 403
Index 405
Acknowledgments xix Introduction About This Book xxi Part 1 The Foreign
Exchange Markets Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3 Introduction--What Is
FOREX? 3 What Is a Spot Market? 4 Which Currencies Are Traded? 4 Who Trades
on the Foreign Exchange? 5 How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6 When Do
Currencies Trade? 8 How Is Money Made in FOREX? 8 Why Trade Foreign
Currencies? 9 What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13 What Does It
Cost to Trade Currencies? 13 FOREX versus Equities 14 FOREX versus Futures
14 Summary 15 Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17 Introduction
17 Ancient Times 17 The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18 The Federal Reserve
18 Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20 The Bretton Woods
System, 1944 to 1973 21 The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating
Exchange Rates 21 International Monetary Market 22 Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23 The CFTC and the NFA 25 Summary 25 Chapter 3 Five
FOREX Markets 27 Introduction--Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread
Betting 27 Currency Futures 29 Contract Specifications 29 Currencies
Trading Volume 30 U.S. Dollar Index 30 Volume and Open Interest 31 Where to
Trade Currency Futures 33 FOREX Futures 33 Summary 33 Chapter 4 Regulation:
Past, Present, and Future 35 Introduction 35 Regulation in the FOREX Market
35 Regulation Past 36 Regulation Present 39 Regulation Future 43 Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47 Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47 Major and Minor Currencies 48 Cross Currency 48 Exotic
Currency 48 Base Currency 48 Quote Currency 49 Pips 49 Ticks 49 Margin 50
Leverage 51 Bid Price 52 Ask Price 52 Bid-Ask Spread 52 Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53 Transaction Cost 53 Rollovers 54 Correlation 54
Summary 55 Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57 Introduction 57 Pips 58 Profit
and Loss 59 Margin 60 Leverage 62 The Bid-Ask Spread 62 Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66 Summary 66 Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading
Platforms 69 Introduction 69 Trading Platform Features 71 More Trading
Platforms 79 Professional FX Platforms 80 Trading Platform Checklist 81 A
Kid in the Candy Store 82 Summary 82 Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83 Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84 Demo Accounts 85 Market
Maker or ECN? 86 Costs 87 Liquidity Providers 89 Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91 Financial Stability 91 Complaint and Error
Resolution 92 Account Options 92 Games Brokers Play 93 Top Broker-Dealers
93 Popular Broker-Dealers 99 The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100 For the
Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101 Spread Betting 102 Fraud, Scams, and
Off-Exchange 103 Broker-Dealer Checklist 103 Summary 103 Chapter 9 How to
Open a FOREX Account 105 Introduction 105 The Demo Account 106 The Live
Account 107 Redundancy 111 Summary 113 Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115 Orders 115 Market Orders 117 Limit Orders 118 Stop Orders
118 Combination Orders 121 Specialty Orders 121 Order Placement 121 Order
Execution 122 Order Confirmation 123 Open Orders 123 Open a Demo Account
124 Summary 125 Part 3 The Trader's Arsenal Chapter 11 The FOREX
Marketplace 129 Introduction 129 Portals and Forums 130 Broker-Dealer
Reviews 133 Educational Resources 133 News and Calendars 135 Management
Tools 136 System Development Tools 137 Data Services 140 Programming
Services 142 Advisory Services 142 References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145 Summary 146 Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147 Introduction
147 Bar Charts 148 Trendlines 151 Support and Resistance 151 Recognizing
Chart Patterns 152 Reversal Patterns 152 Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155 Point and Figure Charts 157 Charting
Caveat--Prediction versus Description 160 Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161 Momentum Analysis 163 Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165 Indicator Caveat--Curve-Fit Data 167 Wave and Swing
Analysis 169 Cycle Analysis 170 Trading Systems 171 The Technician's Creed
171 The Technician's Caveat 171 Summary 172 Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173 Fundamental Analysis 174 Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175 A Fundamental Discussion 181 FOREX News 186 Key
News Releases 186 Reality versus Expectation 187 News Trading 187 Shockwave
Analysis 189 Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189 Summary 191 Part 4
Winning Is the Name of the Game Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195 Introduction
195 Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196 Trading Profiles 199 Selecting a
Trading Profile 201 The Market as a Process 202 Summary 203 Chapter 15
Setting Up Shop 205 Introduction 205 The Plan Components 206 The Trading
Platform Plan 207 Pre-Trade Plan 209 Trading Session Plan 212 Pulling the
Trigger 213 Post-Trade Plan 214 Summary 216 Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217 General Principles 218 A KIS Toolbox 219 A Simple System
220 Not So Simple 227 Pairs to Trade 228 Summary 228 Part 5 The Goodman
Method of Trading Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231 Introduction 231 The
Basic Market Paradigm 232 Goodman Wave Theory 234 The Basic Goodman Setup
243 Summary 244 Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245 Introduction 245
The PTS 245 Summary 251 Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253 The Belgian Dentist 254 Enter the Dagger 254 Waltzing the
Trade 257 The Line! The Line! 264 Summary 267 Chapter 20 The Proactive
Trader 269 Introduction 269 Laydowns 270 Bathtub Analysis 271 The
Propagation Lens 272 Looking Inward and Outward 273 Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276 Ghost Trading 277 Sitting On Your Hands 278 Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281 Introduction 281 Capital
Allocation 282 The Tracks of Your Trades 286 Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288 Characteristics of Successful Traders 291 Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295 Goodmanisms 295 Summary 298 Part 6 Over the
FOREX Rainbow Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301 Introduction 301 Techniques
302 Time Studies 315 Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317 Summary 318 Chapter
24 Options and Exotics 321 Introduction 321 Options 322 A Primer on Options
322 Basic Options Terms 323 Options: Pros and Cons 324 The Four Basic
Options Strategies 325 Purchase or Write Options? 325 Advanced Options
Strategies 326 The Greeks 326 The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328 Risk Management with Options 328 Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332 Summary 332 Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335 Introduction
335 Why Managed FOREX? 336 Pros and Cons 336 Types of Managers 337 Types of
Managed Accounts 338 Trading Methods 340 Performance Analysis 342 Two
Methods of Performance Analysis 345 The Due Diligence Process 346 Costs and
Fees 350 Spotlight on Managers 352 Research and Resources 354 Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357 Introduction 357 Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358 Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359 Get on My Cloud
359 High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360 Into the Future of
FOREX 362 The Trend Machine 363 Grid and Pac Man Programs 364 Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370 Summary 371 Appendix A: List of World
Currencies and Symbols 373 Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading
Hours 379 Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381 Appendix D:
Resources 385 Glossary 389 About the Author 403 Index 405
Exchange Markets Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3 Introduction--What Is
FOREX? 3 What Is a Spot Market? 4 Which Currencies Are Traded? 4 Who Trades
on the Foreign Exchange? 5 How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6 When Do
Currencies Trade? 8 How Is Money Made in FOREX? 8 Why Trade Foreign
Currencies? 9 What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13 What Does It
Cost to Trade Currencies? 13 FOREX versus Equities 14 FOREX versus Futures
14 Summary 15 Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17 Introduction
17 Ancient Times 17 The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18 The Federal Reserve
18 Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20 The Bretton Woods
System, 1944 to 1973 21 The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating
Exchange Rates 21 International Monetary Market 22 Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23 The CFTC and the NFA 25 Summary 25 Chapter 3 Five
FOREX Markets 27 Introduction--Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread
Betting 27 Currency Futures 29 Contract Specifications 29 Currencies
Trading Volume 30 U.S. Dollar Index 30 Volume and Open Interest 31 Where to
Trade Currency Futures 33 FOREX Futures 33 Summary 33 Chapter 4 Regulation:
Past, Present, and Future 35 Introduction 35 Regulation in the FOREX Market
35 Regulation Past 36 Regulation Present 39 Regulation Future 43 Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47 Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47 Major and Minor Currencies 48 Cross Currency 48 Exotic
Currency 48 Base Currency 48 Quote Currency 49 Pips 49 Ticks 49 Margin 50
Leverage 51 Bid Price 52 Ask Price 52 Bid-Ask Spread 52 Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53 Transaction Cost 53 Rollovers 54 Correlation 54
Summary 55 Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57 Introduction 57 Pips 58 Profit
and Loss 59 Margin 60 Leverage 62 The Bid-Ask Spread 62 Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66 Summary 66 Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading
Platforms 69 Introduction 69 Trading Platform Features 71 More Trading
Platforms 79 Professional FX Platforms 80 Trading Platform Checklist 81 A
Kid in the Candy Store 82 Summary 82 Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83 Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84 Demo Accounts 85 Market
Maker or ECN? 86 Costs 87 Liquidity Providers 89 Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91 Financial Stability 91 Complaint and Error
Resolution 92 Account Options 92 Games Brokers Play 93 Top Broker-Dealers
93 Popular Broker-Dealers 99 The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100 For the
Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101 Spread Betting 102 Fraud, Scams, and
Off-Exchange 103 Broker-Dealer Checklist 103 Summary 103 Chapter 9 How to
Open a FOREX Account 105 Introduction 105 The Demo Account 106 The Live
Account 107 Redundancy 111 Summary 113 Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115 Orders 115 Market Orders 117 Limit Orders 118 Stop Orders
118 Combination Orders 121 Specialty Orders 121 Order Placement 121 Order
Execution 122 Order Confirmation 123 Open Orders 123 Open a Demo Account
124 Summary 125 Part 3 The Trader's Arsenal Chapter 11 The FOREX
Marketplace 129 Introduction 129 Portals and Forums 130 Broker-Dealer
Reviews 133 Educational Resources 133 News and Calendars 135 Management
Tools 136 System Development Tools 137 Data Services 140 Programming
Services 142 Advisory Services 142 References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145 Summary 146 Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147 Introduction
147 Bar Charts 148 Trendlines 151 Support and Resistance 151 Recognizing
Chart Patterns 152 Reversal Patterns 152 Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155 Point and Figure Charts 157 Charting
Caveat--Prediction versus Description 160 Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161 Momentum Analysis 163 Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165 Indicator Caveat--Curve-Fit Data 167 Wave and Swing
Analysis 169 Cycle Analysis 170 Trading Systems 171 The Technician's Creed
171 The Technician's Caveat 171 Summary 172 Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173 Fundamental Analysis 174 Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175 A Fundamental Discussion 181 FOREX News 186 Key
News Releases 186 Reality versus Expectation 187 News Trading 187 Shockwave
Analysis 189 Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189 Summary 191 Part 4
Winning Is the Name of the Game Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195 Introduction
195 Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196 Trading Profiles 199 Selecting a
Trading Profile 201 The Market as a Process 202 Summary 203 Chapter 15
Setting Up Shop 205 Introduction 205 The Plan Components 206 The Trading
Platform Plan 207 Pre-Trade Plan 209 Trading Session Plan 212 Pulling the
Trigger 213 Post-Trade Plan 214 Summary 216 Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217 General Principles 218 A KIS Toolbox 219 A Simple System
220 Not So Simple 227 Pairs to Trade 228 Summary 228 Part 5 The Goodman
Method of Trading Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231 Introduction 231 The
Basic Market Paradigm 232 Goodman Wave Theory 234 The Basic Goodman Setup
243 Summary 244 Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245 Introduction 245
The PTS 245 Summary 251 Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253 The Belgian Dentist 254 Enter the Dagger 254 Waltzing the
Trade 257 The Line! The Line! 264 Summary 267 Chapter 20 The Proactive
Trader 269 Introduction 269 Laydowns 270 Bathtub Analysis 271 The
Propagation Lens 272 Looking Inward and Outward 273 Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276 Ghost Trading 277 Sitting On Your Hands 278 Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281 Introduction 281 Capital
Allocation 282 The Tracks of Your Trades 286 Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288 Characteristics of Successful Traders 291 Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295 Goodmanisms 295 Summary 298 Part 6 Over the
FOREX Rainbow Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301 Introduction 301 Techniques
302 Time Studies 315 Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317 Summary 318 Chapter
24 Options and Exotics 321 Introduction 321 Options 322 A Primer on Options
322 Basic Options Terms 323 Options: Pros and Cons 324 The Four Basic
Options Strategies 325 Purchase or Write Options? 325 Advanced Options
Strategies 326 The Greeks 326 The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328 Risk Management with Options 328 Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332 Summary 332 Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335 Introduction
335 Why Managed FOREX? 336 Pros and Cons 336 Types of Managers 337 Types of
Managed Accounts 338 Trading Methods 340 Performance Analysis 342 Two
Methods of Performance Analysis 345 The Due Diligence Process 346 Costs and
Fees 350 Spotlight on Managers 352 Research and Resources 354 Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357 Introduction 357 Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358 Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359 Get on My Cloud
359 High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360 Into the Future of
FOREX 362 The Trend Machine 363 Grid and Pac Man Programs 364 Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370 Summary 371 Appendix A: List of World
Currencies and Symbols 373 Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading
Hours 379 Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381 Appendix D:
Resources 385 Glossary 389 About the Author 403 Index 405
Acknowledgments xix
Introduction
About This Book xxi
Part 1 The Foreign Exchange Markets
Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3
Introduction—What is FOREX? 3
What is a Spot Market? 4
Which Currencies Are Traded? 4
Who Trades on the Foreign Exchange? 5
How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6
When Do Currencies Trade? 8
How is Money Made in FOREX? 8
Why Trade Foreign Currencies? 9
What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13
What Does It Cost to Trade Currencies? 13
FOREX versus Equities 14
FOREX versus Futures 14
Summary 15
Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17
Introduction 17
Ancient Times 17
The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18
The Federal Reserve 18
Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20
The Bretton Woods System, 1944 to 1973 21
The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating Exchange Rates 21
International Monetary Market 22
Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23
The CFTC and the NFA 25
Summary 25
Chapter 3 Five FOREX Markets 27
Introduction—Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread Betting 27
Currency Futures 29
Contract Specifications 29
Currencies Trading Volume 30
U.S. Dollar Index 30
Volume and Open Interest 31
Where to Trade Currency Futures 33
FOREX Futures 33
Summary 33
Chapter 4 Regulation: Past, Present, and Future 35
Introduction 35
Regulation in the FOREX Market 35
Regulation Past 36
Regulation Present 39
Regulation Future 43
Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started
Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47
Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47
Major and Minor Currencies 48
Cross Currency 48
Exotic Currency 48
Base Currency 48
Quote Currency 49
Pips 49
Ticks 49
Margin 50
Leverage 51
Bid Price 52
Ask Price 52
Bid-Ask Spread 52
Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53
Transaction Cost 53
Rollovers 54
Correlation 54
Summary 55
Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57
Introduction 57
Pips 58
Profit and Loss 59
Margin 60
Leverage 62
The Bid-Ask Spread 62
Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66
Summary 66
Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading Platforms 69
Introduction 69
Trading Platform Features 71
More Trading Platforms 79
Professional FX Platforms 80
Trading Platform Checklist 81
A Kid in the Candy Store 82
Summary 82
Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83
Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84
Demo Accounts 85
Market Maker or ECN? 86
Costs 87
Liquidity Providers 89
Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91
Financial Stability 91
Complaint and Error Resolution 92
Account Options 92
Games Brokers Play 93
Top Broker-Dealers 93
Popular Broker-Dealers 99
The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100
For the Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101
Spread Betting 102
Fraud, Scams, and Off-Exchange 103
Broker-Dealer Checklist 103
Summary 103
Chapter 9 How to Open a FOREX Account 105
Introduction 105
The Demo Account 106
The Live Account 107
Redundancy 111
Summary 113
Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115
Orders 115
Market Orders 117
Limit Orders 118
Stop Orders 118
Combination Orders 121
Specialty Orders 121
Order Placement 121
Order Execution 122
Order Confirmation 123
Open Orders 123
Open a Demo Account 124
Summary 125
Part 3 The Trader’s Arsenal
Chapter 11 The FOREX Marketplace 129
Introduction 129
Portals and Forums 130
Broker-Dealer Reviews 133
Educational Resources 133
News and Calendars 135
Management Tools 136
System Development Tools 137
Data Services 140
Programming Services 142
Advisory Services 142
References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145
Summary 146
Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147
Introduction 147
Bar Charts 148
Trendlines 151
Support and Resistance 151
Recognizing Chart Patterns 152
Reversal Patterns 152
Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155
Point and Figure Charts 157
Charting Caveat—Prediction versus Description 160
Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161
Momentum Analysis 163
Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165
Indicator Caveat—Curve-Fit Data 167
Wave and Swing Analysis 169
Cycle Analysis 170
Trading Systems 171
The Technician’s Creed 171
The Technician’s Caveat 171
Summary 172
Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173
Fundamental Analysis 174
Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175
A Fundamental Discussion 181
FOREX News 186
Key News Releases 186
Reality versus Expectation 187
News Trading 187
Shockwave Analysis 189
Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189
Summary 191
Part 4 Winning is the Name of the Game
Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195
Introduction 195
Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196
Trading Profiles 199
Selecting a Trading Profile 201
The Market as a Process 202
Summary 203
Chapter 15 Setting Up Shop 205
Introduction 205
The Plan Components 206
The Trading Platform Plan 207
Pre-Trade Plan 209
Trading Session Plan 212
Pulling the Trigger 213
Post-Trade Plan 214
Summary 216
Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217
General Principles 218
A KIS Toolbox 219
A Simple System 220
Not So Simple 227
Pairs to Trade 228
Summary 228
Part 5 The Goodman Method of Trading
Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231
Introduction 231
The Basic Market Paradigm 232
Goodman Wave Theory 234
The Basic Goodman Setup 243
Summary 244
Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245
Introduction 245
The PTS 245
Summary 251
Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253
The Belgian Dentist 254
Enter the Dagger 254
Waltzing the Trade 257
The Line! The Line! 264
Summary 267
Chapter 20 The Proactive Trader 269
Introduction 269
Laydowns 270
Bathtub Analysis 271
The Propagation Lens 272
Looking Inward and Outward 273
Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276
Ghost Trading 277
Sitting On Your Hands 278
Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281
Introduction 281
Capital Allocation 282
The Tracks of Your Trades 286
Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288
Characteristics of Successful Traders 291
Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295
Goodmanisms 295
Summary 298
Part 6 Over the FOREX Rainbow
Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301
Introduction 301
Techniques 302
Time Studies 315
Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317
Summary 318
Chapter 24 Options and Exotics 321
Introduction 321
Options 322
A Primer on Options 322
Basic Options Terms 323
Options: Pros and Cons 324
The Four Basic Options Strategies 325
Purchase or Write Options? 325
Advanced Options Strategies 326
The Greeks 326
The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328
Risk Management with Options 328
Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332
Summary 332
Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335
Introduction 335
Why Managed FOREX? 336
Pros and Cons 336
Types of Managers 337
Types of Managed Accounts 338
Trading Methods 340
Performance Analysis 342
Two Methods of Performance Analysis 345
The Due Diligence Process 346
Costs and Fees 350
Spotlight on Managers 352
Research and Resources 354
Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357
Introduction 357
Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358
Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359
Get on My Cloud 359
High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360
Into the Future of FOREX 362
The Trend Machine 363
Grid and Pac Man Programs 364
Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370
Summary 371
Appendix A: List of World Currencies and Symbols 373
Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading Hours 379
Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381
Appendix D: Resources 385
Glossary 389
About the Author 403
Index 405
Introduction
About This Book xxi
Part 1 The Foreign Exchange Markets
Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3
Introduction—What is FOREX? 3
What is a Spot Market? 4
Which Currencies Are Traded? 4
Who Trades on the Foreign Exchange? 5
How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6
When Do Currencies Trade? 8
How is Money Made in FOREX? 8
Why Trade Foreign Currencies? 9
What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13
What Does It Cost to Trade Currencies? 13
FOREX versus Equities 14
FOREX versus Futures 14
Summary 15
Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17
Introduction 17
Ancient Times 17
The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18
The Federal Reserve 18
Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20
The Bretton Woods System, 1944 to 1973 21
The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating Exchange Rates 21
International Monetary Market 22
Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23
The CFTC and the NFA 25
Summary 25
Chapter 3 Five FOREX Markets 27
Introduction—Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread Betting 27
Currency Futures 29
Contract Specifications 29
Currencies Trading Volume 30
U.S. Dollar Index 30
Volume and Open Interest 31
Where to Trade Currency Futures 33
FOREX Futures 33
Summary 33
Chapter 4 Regulation: Past, Present, and Future 35
Introduction 35
Regulation in the FOREX Market 35
Regulation Past 36
Regulation Present 39
Regulation Future 43
Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started
Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47
Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47
Major and Minor Currencies 48
Cross Currency 48
Exotic Currency 48
Base Currency 48
Quote Currency 49
Pips 49
Ticks 49
Margin 50
Leverage 51
Bid Price 52
Ask Price 52
Bid-Ask Spread 52
Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53
Transaction Cost 53
Rollovers 54
Correlation 54
Summary 55
Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57
Introduction 57
Pips 58
Profit and Loss 59
Margin 60
Leverage 62
The Bid-Ask Spread 62
Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66
Summary 66
Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading Platforms 69
Introduction 69
Trading Platform Features 71
More Trading Platforms 79
Professional FX Platforms 80
Trading Platform Checklist 81
A Kid in the Candy Store 82
Summary 82
Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83
Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84
Demo Accounts 85
Market Maker or ECN? 86
Costs 87
Liquidity Providers 89
Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91
Financial Stability 91
Complaint and Error Resolution 92
Account Options 92
Games Brokers Play 93
Top Broker-Dealers 93
Popular Broker-Dealers 99
The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100
For the Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101
Spread Betting 102
Fraud, Scams, and Off-Exchange 103
Broker-Dealer Checklist 103
Summary 103
Chapter 9 How to Open a FOREX Account 105
Introduction 105
The Demo Account 106
The Live Account 107
Redundancy 111
Summary 113
Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115
Orders 115
Market Orders 117
Limit Orders 118
Stop Orders 118
Combination Orders 121
Specialty Orders 121
Order Placement 121
Order Execution 122
Order Confirmation 123
Open Orders 123
Open a Demo Account 124
Summary 125
Part 3 The Trader’s Arsenal
Chapter 11 The FOREX Marketplace 129
Introduction 129
Portals and Forums 130
Broker-Dealer Reviews 133
Educational Resources 133
News and Calendars 135
Management Tools 136
System Development Tools 137
Data Services 140
Programming Services 142
Advisory Services 142
References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145
Summary 146
Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147
Introduction 147
Bar Charts 148
Trendlines 151
Support and Resistance 151
Recognizing Chart Patterns 152
Reversal Patterns 152
Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155
Point and Figure Charts 157
Charting Caveat—Prediction versus Description 160
Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161
Momentum Analysis 163
Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165
Indicator Caveat—Curve-Fit Data 167
Wave and Swing Analysis 169
Cycle Analysis 170
Trading Systems 171
The Technician’s Creed 171
The Technician’s Caveat 171
Summary 172
Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173
Fundamental Analysis 174
Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175
A Fundamental Discussion 181
FOREX News 186
Key News Releases 186
Reality versus Expectation 187
News Trading 187
Shockwave Analysis 189
Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189
Summary 191
Part 4 Winning is the Name of the Game
Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195
Introduction 195
Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196
Trading Profiles 199
Selecting a Trading Profile 201
The Market as a Process 202
Summary 203
Chapter 15 Setting Up Shop 205
Introduction 205
The Plan Components 206
The Trading Platform Plan 207
Pre-Trade Plan 209
Trading Session Plan 212
Pulling the Trigger 213
Post-Trade Plan 214
Summary 216
Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217
General Principles 218
A KIS Toolbox 219
A Simple System 220
Not So Simple 227
Pairs to Trade 228
Summary 228
Part 5 The Goodman Method of Trading
Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231
Introduction 231
The Basic Market Paradigm 232
Goodman Wave Theory 234
The Basic Goodman Setup 243
Summary 244
Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245
Introduction 245
The PTS 245
Summary 251
Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253
The Belgian Dentist 254
Enter the Dagger 254
Waltzing the Trade 257
The Line! The Line! 264
Summary 267
Chapter 20 The Proactive Trader 269
Introduction 269
Laydowns 270
Bathtub Analysis 271
The Propagation Lens 272
Looking Inward and Outward 273
Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276
Ghost Trading 277
Sitting On Your Hands 278
Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281
Introduction 281
Capital Allocation 282
The Tracks of Your Trades 286
Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288
Characteristics of Successful Traders 291
Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295
Goodmanisms 295
Summary 298
Part 6 Over the FOREX Rainbow
Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301
Introduction 301
Techniques 302
Time Studies 315
Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317
Summary 318
Chapter 24 Options and Exotics 321
Introduction 321
Options 322
A Primer on Options 322
Basic Options Terms 323
Options: Pros and Cons 324
The Four Basic Options Strategies 325
Purchase or Write Options? 325
Advanced Options Strategies 326
The Greeks 326
The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328
Risk Management with Options 328
Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332
Summary 332
Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335
Introduction 335
Why Managed FOREX? 336
Pros and Cons 336
Types of Managers 337
Types of Managed Accounts 338
Trading Methods 340
Performance Analysis 342
Two Methods of Performance Analysis 345
The Due Diligence Process 346
Costs and Fees 350
Spotlight on Managers 352
Research and Resources 354
Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357
Introduction 357
Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358
Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359
Get on My Cloud 359
High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360
Into the Future of FOREX 362
The Trend Machine 363
Grid and Pac Man Programs 364
Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370
Summary 371
Appendix A: List of World Currencies and Symbols 373
Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading Hours 379
Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381
Appendix D: Resources 385
Glossary 389
About the Author 403
Index 405
Acknowledgments xix Introduction About This Book xxi Part 1 The Foreign
Exchange Markets Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3 Introduction--What Is
FOREX? 3 What Is a Spot Market? 4 Which Currencies Are Traded? 4 Who Trades
on the Foreign Exchange? 5 How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6 When Do
Currencies Trade? 8 How Is Money Made in FOREX? 8 Why Trade Foreign
Currencies? 9 What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13 What Does It
Cost to Trade Currencies? 13 FOREX versus Equities 14 FOREX versus Futures
14 Summary 15 Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17 Introduction
17 Ancient Times 17 The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18 The Federal Reserve
18 Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20 The Bretton Woods
System, 1944 to 1973 21 The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating
Exchange Rates 21 International Monetary Market 22 Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23 The CFTC and the NFA 25 Summary 25 Chapter 3 Five
FOREX Markets 27 Introduction--Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread
Betting 27 Currency Futures 29 Contract Specifications 29 Currencies
Trading Volume 30 U.S. Dollar Index 30 Volume and Open Interest 31 Where to
Trade Currency Futures 33 FOREX Futures 33 Summary 33 Chapter 4 Regulation:
Past, Present, and Future 35 Introduction 35 Regulation in the FOREX Market
35 Regulation Past 36 Regulation Present 39 Regulation Future 43 Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47 Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47 Major and Minor Currencies 48 Cross Currency 48 Exotic
Currency 48 Base Currency 48 Quote Currency 49 Pips 49 Ticks 49 Margin 50
Leverage 51 Bid Price 52 Ask Price 52 Bid-Ask Spread 52 Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53 Transaction Cost 53 Rollovers 54 Correlation 54
Summary 55 Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57 Introduction 57 Pips 58 Profit
and Loss 59 Margin 60 Leverage 62 The Bid-Ask Spread 62 Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66 Summary 66 Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading
Platforms 69 Introduction 69 Trading Platform Features 71 More Trading
Platforms 79 Professional FX Platforms 80 Trading Platform Checklist 81 A
Kid in the Candy Store 82 Summary 82 Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83 Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84 Demo Accounts 85 Market
Maker or ECN? 86 Costs 87 Liquidity Providers 89 Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91 Financial Stability 91 Complaint and Error
Resolution 92 Account Options 92 Games Brokers Play 93 Top Broker-Dealers
93 Popular Broker-Dealers 99 The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100 For the
Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101 Spread Betting 102 Fraud, Scams, and
Off-Exchange 103 Broker-Dealer Checklist 103 Summary 103 Chapter 9 How to
Open a FOREX Account 105 Introduction 105 The Demo Account 106 The Live
Account 107 Redundancy 111 Summary 113 Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115 Orders 115 Market Orders 117 Limit Orders 118 Stop Orders
118 Combination Orders 121 Specialty Orders 121 Order Placement 121 Order
Execution 122 Order Confirmation 123 Open Orders 123 Open a Demo Account
124 Summary 125 Part 3 The Trader's Arsenal Chapter 11 The FOREX
Marketplace 129 Introduction 129 Portals and Forums 130 Broker-Dealer
Reviews 133 Educational Resources 133 News and Calendars 135 Management
Tools 136 System Development Tools 137 Data Services 140 Programming
Services 142 Advisory Services 142 References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145 Summary 146 Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147 Introduction
147 Bar Charts 148 Trendlines 151 Support and Resistance 151 Recognizing
Chart Patterns 152 Reversal Patterns 152 Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155 Point and Figure Charts 157 Charting
Caveat--Prediction versus Description 160 Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161 Momentum Analysis 163 Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165 Indicator Caveat--Curve-Fit Data 167 Wave and Swing
Analysis 169 Cycle Analysis 170 Trading Systems 171 The Technician's Creed
171 The Technician's Caveat 171 Summary 172 Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173 Fundamental Analysis 174 Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175 A Fundamental Discussion 181 FOREX News 186 Key
News Releases 186 Reality versus Expectation 187 News Trading 187 Shockwave
Analysis 189 Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189 Summary 191 Part 4
Winning Is the Name of the Game Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195 Introduction
195 Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196 Trading Profiles 199 Selecting a
Trading Profile 201 The Market as a Process 202 Summary 203 Chapter 15
Setting Up Shop 205 Introduction 205 The Plan Components 206 The Trading
Platform Plan 207 Pre-Trade Plan 209 Trading Session Plan 212 Pulling the
Trigger 213 Post-Trade Plan 214 Summary 216 Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217 General Principles 218 A KIS Toolbox 219 A Simple System
220 Not So Simple 227 Pairs to Trade 228 Summary 228 Part 5 The Goodman
Method of Trading Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231 Introduction 231 The
Basic Market Paradigm 232 Goodman Wave Theory 234 The Basic Goodman Setup
243 Summary 244 Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245 Introduction 245
The PTS 245 Summary 251 Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253 The Belgian Dentist 254 Enter the Dagger 254 Waltzing the
Trade 257 The Line! The Line! 264 Summary 267 Chapter 20 The Proactive
Trader 269 Introduction 269 Laydowns 270 Bathtub Analysis 271 The
Propagation Lens 272 Looking Inward and Outward 273 Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276 Ghost Trading 277 Sitting On Your Hands 278 Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281 Introduction 281 Capital
Allocation 282 The Tracks of Your Trades 286 Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288 Characteristics of Successful Traders 291 Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295 Goodmanisms 295 Summary 298 Part 6 Over the
FOREX Rainbow Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301 Introduction 301 Techniques
302 Time Studies 315 Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317 Summary 318 Chapter
24 Options and Exotics 321 Introduction 321 Options 322 A Primer on Options
322 Basic Options Terms 323 Options: Pros and Cons 324 The Four Basic
Options Strategies 325 Purchase or Write Options? 325 Advanced Options
Strategies 326 The Greeks 326 The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328 Risk Management with Options 328 Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332 Summary 332 Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335 Introduction
335 Why Managed FOREX? 336 Pros and Cons 336 Types of Managers 337 Types of
Managed Accounts 338 Trading Methods 340 Performance Analysis 342 Two
Methods of Performance Analysis 345 The Due Diligence Process 346 Costs and
Fees 350 Spotlight on Managers 352 Research and Resources 354 Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357 Introduction 357 Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358 Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359 Get on My Cloud
359 High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360 Into the Future of
FOREX 362 The Trend Machine 363 Grid and Pac Man Programs 364 Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370 Summary 371 Appendix A: List of World
Currencies and Symbols 373 Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading
Hours 379 Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381 Appendix D:
Resources 385 Glossary 389 About the Author 403 Index 405
Exchange Markets Chapter 1 The World of FOREX 3 Introduction--What Is
FOREX? 3 What Is a Spot Market? 4 Which Currencies Are Traded? 4 Who Trades
on the Foreign Exchange? 5 How Are Currency Prices Determined? 6 When Do
Currencies Trade? 8 How Is Money Made in FOREX? 8 Why Trade Foreign
Currencies? 9 What Tools Do I Need to Trade Currencies? 13 What Does It
Cost to Trade Currencies? 13 FOREX versus Equities 14 FOREX versus Futures
14 Summary 15 Chapter 2 A Brief History of Currency Trading 17 Introduction
17 Ancient Times 17 The Gold Standard, 1816 to 1933 18 The Federal Reserve
18 Securities and Exchange Commission, 1933 to 1934 20 The Bretton Woods
System, 1944 to 1973 21 The End of Bretton Woods and the Advent of Floating
Exchange Rates 21 International Monetary Market 22 Into the Millennium 22
Arrival of the Euro 23 The CFTC and the NFA 25 Summary 25 Chapter 3 Five
FOREX Markets 27 Introduction--Spot, Futures, Forwards, Options, Spread
Betting 27 Currency Futures 29 Contract Specifications 29 Currencies
Trading Volume 30 U.S. Dollar Index 30 Volume and Open Interest 31 Where to
Trade Currency Futures 33 FOREX Futures 33 Summary 33 Chapter 4 Regulation:
Past, Present, and Future 35 Introduction 35 Regulation in the FOREX Market
35 Regulation Past 36 Regulation Present 39 Regulation Future 43 Summary 44
Part 2 Getting Started Chapter 5 The Language of FOREX 47 Introduction 47
Currency Pairs 47 Major and Minor Currencies 48 Cross Currency 48 Exotic
Currency 48 Base Currency 48 Quote Currency 49 Pips 49 Ticks 49 Margin 50
Leverage 51 Bid Price 52 Ask Price 52 Bid-Ask Spread 52 Quote Convention 52
Market Maker and ECN 53 Transaction Cost 53 Rollovers 54 Correlation 54
Summary 55 Chapter 6 FOREX by the Numbers 57 Introduction 57 Pips 58 Profit
and Loss 59 Margin 60 Leverage 62 The Bid-Ask Spread 62 Profit Threshold 63
For Futures Traders 66 Summary 66 Chapter 7 A Guide to FOREX Trading
Platforms 69 Introduction 69 Trading Platform Features 71 More Trading
Platforms 79 Professional FX Platforms 80 Trading Platform Checklist 81 A
Kid in the Candy Store 82 Summary 82 Chapter 8 Selecting a FOREX Broker 83
Introduction 83 Broker-Dealer Due Diligence 84 Demo Accounts 85 Market
Maker or ECN? 86 Costs 87 Liquidity Providers 89 Customer Service 90
Trading Pair Palette 91 Financial Stability 91 Complaint and Error
Resolution 92 Account Options 92 Games Brokers Play 93 Top Broker-Dealers
93 Popular Broker-Dealers 99 The Big Four Broker-Dealers 100 For the
Professional and Non-U.S. Trader 101 Spread Betting 102 Fraud, Scams, and
Off-Exchange 103 Broker-Dealer Checklist 103 Summary 103 Chapter 9 How to
Open a FOREX Account 105 Introduction 105 The Demo Account 106 The Live
Account 107 Redundancy 111 Summary 113 Chapter 10 Making the Trade 115
Introduction 115 Orders 115 Market Orders 117 Limit Orders 118 Stop Orders
118 Combination Orders 121 Specialty Orders 121 Order Placement 121 Order
Execution 122 Order Confirmation 123 Open Orders 123 Open a Demo Account
124 Summary 125 Part 3 The Trader's Arsenal Chapter 11 The FOREX
Marketplace 129 Introduction 129 Portals and Forums 130 Broker-Dealer
Reviews 133 Educational Resources 133 News and Calendars 135 Management
Tools 136 System Development Tools 137 Data Services 140 Programming
Services 142 Advisory Services 142 References, Periodicals, and Books 143
Fun Stuff 145 Summary 146 Chapter 12 Technical Analysis 147 Introduction
147 Bar Charts 148 Trendlines 151 Support and Resistance 151 Recognizing
Chart Patterns 152 Reversal Patterns 152 Continuation Patterns 153
Candlestick Charts 155 Point and Figure Charts 157 Charting
Caveat--Prediction versus Description 160 Indicators and Oscillators 161
Relative Strength Indicator 161 Momentum Analysis 163 Moving Averages 164
Bollinger Bands 165 Indicator Caveat--Curve-Fit Data 167 Wave and Swing
Analysis 169 Cycle Analysis 170 Trading Systems 171 The Technician's Creed
171 The Technician's Caveat 171 Summary 172 Chapter 13 News Trading 173
Introduction 173 Fundamental Analysis 174 Fundamental Problems 174
Fundamental Factors 175 A Fundamental Discussion 181 FOREX News 186 Key
News Releases 186 Reality versus Expectation 187 News Trading 187 Shockwave
Analysis 189 Strategy and Tactics of News Trading 189 Summary 191 Part 4
Winning Is the Name of the Game Chapter 14 Trading Spaces 195 Introduction
195 Charts, Bars, and Trading Spaces 196 Trading Profiles 199 Selecting a
Trading Profile 201 The Market as a Process 202 Summary 203 Chapter 15
Setting Up Shop 205 Introduction 205 The Plan Components 206 The Trading
Platform Plan 207 Pre-Trade Plan 209 Trading Session Plan 212 Pulling the
Trigger 213 Post-Trade Plan 214 Summary 216 Chapter 16 A Simple System 217
Introduction 217 General Principles 218 A KIS Toolbox 219 A Simple System
220 Not So Simple 227 Pairs to Trade 228 Summary 228 Part 5 The Goodman
Method of Trading Chapter 17 Goodman Wave Theory 231 Introduction 231 The
Basic Market Paradigm 232 Goodman Wave Theory 234 The Basic Goodman Setup
243 Summary 244 Chapter 18 The Propagation Trade Setup 245 Introduction 245
The PTS 245 Summary 251 Chapter 19 The Dagger, the Waltz, and the Line 253
Introduction 253 The Belgian Dentist 254 Enter the Dagger 254 Waltzing the
Trade 257 The Line! The Line! 264 Summary 267 Chapter 20 The Proactive
Trader 269 Introduction 269 Laydowns 270 Bathtub Analysis 271 The
Propagation Lens 272 Looking Inward and Outward 273 Multiple 3-C Counts 276
Stations 276 Ghost Trading 277 Sitting On Your Hands 278 Summary 279
Chapter 21 The 30-Trade Campaign Program 281 Introduction 281 Capital
Allocation 282 The Tracks of Your Trades 286 Pre-Trade Checklist 286
Diagnostics 288 Characteristics of Successful Traders 291 Summary 293
Chapter 22 Goodmanisms 295 Goodmanisms 295 Summary 298 Part 6 Over the
FOREX Rainbow Chapter 23 Tools for Traders 301 Introduction 301 Techniques
302 Time Studies 315 Fear and Greed, Greed and Fear 317 Summary 318 Chapter
24 Options and Exotics 321 Introduction 321 Options 322 A Primer on Options
322 Basic Options Terms 323 Options: Pros and Cons 324 The Four Basic
Options Strategies 325 Purchase or Write Options? 325 Advanced Options
Strategies 326 The Greeks 326 The Retail FOREX Options Landscape 327
Options or Spot FOREX? 328 Risk Management with Options 328 Exotics 330
Trading Exotics 332 Summary 332 Chapter 25 Managed FOREX 335 Introduction
335 Why Managed FOREX? 336 Pros and Cons 336 Types of Managers 337 Types of
Managed Accounts 338 Trading Methods 340 Performance Analysis 342 Two
Methods of Performance Analysis 345 The Due Diligence Process 346 Costs and
Fees 350 Spotlight on Managers 352 Research and Resources 354 Summary 355
Chapter 26 Computer Trading 357 Introduction 357 Technical Analysis 357
Expert Advisors 358 Automated Trading, Agents, and BOTS 359 Get on My Cloud
359 High-Frequency and Ultra-High-Frequency Trading 360 Into the Future of
FOREX 362 The Trend Machine 363 Grid and Pac Man Programs 364 Arbitrage 365
Pros and Cons of Arbitrage 370 Summary 371 Appendix A: List of World
Currencies and Symbols 373 Appendix B: Time Zones and Global FX Trading
Hours 379 Appendix C: Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies 381 Appendix D:
Resources 385 Glossary 389 About the Author 403 Index 405