Making statistical modeling and inference more accessible to ecologists and related scientists, this book gives readers a flexible and effective framework to learn about complex ecological processes from various sources of data. It shows how Bayesian statistical modeling provides an intuitive way to organize data, test ideas, investigate competing hypotheses, and assess degrees of confidence of predictions. It also illustrates how conditional reasoning can dismantle a complex reality into more understandable pieces. Data sets, exercises, and R and WinBUGS codes are available on the authors' website.
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