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This book deals with the prediction of possible future scenarios concerning the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the well-known SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick a compartment model is established. This model comprises its own assumptions, transition rates and transmission dynamics, as well as a corresponding system of ordinary differential equations. Making use of numerical methods and a nonstandard-finite-difference scheme, two submodels are implemented in Matlab in order to make parameter estimations and compare different scenarios with each other.
This book deals with the prediction of possible future scenarios concerning the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the well-known SIR model by Kermack and McKendrick a compartment model is established. This model comprises its own assumptions, transition rates and transmission dynamics, as well as a corresponding system of ordinary differential equations. Making use of numerical methods and a nonstandard-finite-difference scheme, two submodels are implemented in Matlab in order to make parameter estimations and compare different scenarios with each other.
Sarah Marie Treibert is a research assistant at the Chair of Applied Mathematics / Numerical Analysis of the University of Wuppertal (Bergische Universität Wuppertal). Her focus is on Epidemic Modelling.
Inhaltsangabe
Introduction.- The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus Type 2.- The SIR Model in Epidemic Modelling.- The SARS-CoV-2-fitted SEIR Model.- Model Specifications.- Parameter Estimation in MAT LAB.- Markov Chain Epidemic Models.- R´esum´.
Introduction.- The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus Type 2.- The SIR Model in Epidemic Modelling.- The SARS-CoV-2-fitted SEIR Model.- Model Specifications.- Parameter Estimation in MAT LAB.- Markov Chain Epidemic Models.- R´esum´.
Introduction.- The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus Type 2.- The SIR Model in Epidemic Modelling.- The SARS-CoV-2-fitted SEIR Model.- Model Specifications.- Parameter Estimation in MAT LAB.- Markov Chain Epidemic Models.- R´esum´.
Introduction.- The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus Type 2.- The SIR Model in Epidemic Modelling.- The SARS-CoV-2-fitted SEIR Model.- Model Specifications.- Parameter Estimation in MAT LAB.- Markov Chain Epidemic Models.- R´esum´.
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