M. William Scheier

Pivots, Patterns, and Intraday Swing Trades (eBook, PDF)

Derivatives Analysis with the E-mini and Russell Futures Contracts

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

An original approach to trend discovery and trade entry Initial forays into day trading stock index futures reveal a starkly different decision environment. There is no time to dwell on technical conditions. Intraday volatility in the stock indices is far more exaggerated than the daily bar charts of other markets, partly due to the extreme leverage, partly due to the intense attention. And positioning techniques that prove reliable in the action of the long-term trends in other instruments tend to fail in the countertrend reactions of the highly leveraged S&P futures contract within the short-term. For the informed trader, tremendous opportunities in these intraday trend swings can be captured. This book will show you how. Filled with detailed technical models, this reliable resource skillfully utilizes innovative methodologies for trend discovery and trade entry in mini-stock index futures markets. It offers a fresh approach to understanding and capitalizing on market volatility, allowing you to sort out the apparent chaos of the day trading environment through codified and recognizable trade entry setups. * Highlights trading techniques that are anything but mechanical scalping * Explores conceptual event models and their accompanying rules * Contains tools by which major intraday swing trends can be identified quickly and often at the very turning points where they begin * Explains the underlying order and structure to the markets based on the repetitive nature of human behavior Engaging and informative, this reliable resource will put you in a better position to excel in today's dynamic markets.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: John Wiley & Sons
• Seitenzahl: 240
• Erscheinungstermin: 19. Dezember 2013
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781118775868
• Artikelnr.: 40180408

Autorenporträt

M. WILLIAM SCHEIER is the owner and founder of ValhallaFutures.com. Will started his trading career as a stock and futures broker in the early 1980s, learning to trade his own account and advise his clients, while mentoring with a retiring cotton trader. He then trained on the floor of the CME's S&P pit. With the advent of electronic trading, Will shifted his focus to day trading stock index futures in the smaller time frames, transferring much of what he learned from floor traders onto the screen. He estimates that in his efforts to further his trading education, he spent more than twenty-thousand dollars on courses and materials vendors of technical analysis, but found little if anything useful for trading in the smaller time frames of the volatile stock index futures markets. Ultimately, he found success with his own, highly original analysis methods, which he now teaches in a live, ten-session webinar.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface xi
Part One Time Frame Concepts
Chapter 1 A Three-Frame Day 3
The 1st Frame 6
The Midday Frame 8
The Last Hour Time Frame 9
Summary 11
Notes 11
Chapter 2 Opening Range Bar 13
ORB Defined 13
3-Bar ORB 15
ORB Pennant 17
ORB Matched Highs/Lows 20
Summary 21
Notes 22
Chapter 3 Pivot/Exhaustion Grid 23
ORB Kilroy 24
Break-Away Pivots: The Pivot Ledge 27
The Break-Away Lap 28
Previous Highs and Lows 31
Previous Closing Prices: The Gap 34
Tick Bar Laps 35
Dynamic Exhaustion Levels: The EMAs 37
Floor Trader's Pivot Points 40
Fibonacci Targets 41
Measured Move Targets 43
Market Profile 43
Trend Lines 44
Summary 46
Notes 46
Chapter 4 Dough Bar to Die Bar 49
Summary 54
Chapter 5 Leadership Divergence 55
Summary 62
Chapter 6 The Work-Done Concept 63
Summary 67
Chapter 7 Trading the News 69
Summary 76
Notes 77
Part Two Day Model Patterns
Chapter 8 Persistent Trend Day 81
Persistence in Trend: It's a Thing 82
ORB Entries 85
Telltale Leadership 85
Leadership Shift 87
Flubber Bounce/Monkey Bars 89
Last Chance Texaco: The 200EMA Entry 91
Summary 93
Notes 93
Chapter 9 Test-and-Reject Day 95
Summary 101
Notes 101
Chapter 10 The Split-Open Day 103
Summary 104
Notes 104
Chapter 11 Day Model Sequence Cycle 105
Summary 111
Notes 112
Part Three Repetitive Chart Patterns
Chapter 12 The Momentum Grid 115
Summary 119
Notes 120
Chapter 13 Pre-Breakout Pause Pattern 121
Summary 124
Chapter 14 The Classics Revisited 125
M-Tops, W-Bottoms 126
Telltale Triangles 127
Head-and-Shoulders Reversals, Revised 131
The Rising/Declining Wedge 134
Midday Channel 136
Summary 139
Notes 140
Chapter 15 MA Pattern Concepts 141
The EMA Pinch 141
Gap-Close or Further? 143
The EMA Cup 144
The Cup as Breakout Trigger 146
Summary 147
Part Four Confluence and Execution
Chapter 16 Transition Time Reversals 151
Summary 156
Chapter 17 Trade Entry Models 157
Summary 172
Chapter 18 The Trade Plan 173
Prescript 174
Blueprint 176
My Blueprint Notes 179
Summary 183
Appendix A Companion Website 185
Appendix B Color Legend 187
Appendix C Serial Sequent Wave Method 191
Appendix D ValhallaFutures Indicator Package and Intraday Index Futures
Trading Course 195
Appendix E Screen Capturing an Event Library 197
Appendix F Randolph Newman 199
Appendix G Fibonacci versus Pivot/Exhaustion Grid 203
Appendix H The Last Triangle 207
Bibliography 209
About the Author 213
Index 215