Glenn Koller

Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making (eBook, ePUB)

• Format: ePub

Produktbeschreibung

A follow-up to Koller's Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents a plain-English narrative that explores comprehensive risk/uncertainty analyses in manufacturing, security, law, investing, production sharing, scheduling, insurance, pricing, and more. Focusing on value, it outlines and discusses risk assessment models applicable to real business scenarios. The presentation of each model also includes computer code that encapsulates its logic along with direction on how to apply the model to other types of problems.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Taylor & Francis
• Erscheinungstermin: 17. Mai 2000
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781040189030
• Artikelnr.: 72524306

Autorenporträt

Koller, Glenn

Inhaltsangabe

Introduction. Two Approaches to Solving Decision Trees
a Class
Action Suit Example. Terrorism Risk Models
Relative and Absolute Risk. Gathering Information Consistently in an Inconsistent World. New Manufacturing Facility
Business
Justification Model. Oil
Field
Development Investment
Opportunity Risk Model. Using Chance of Failure and Risk
Weighted values to Reflect the Effect of "Soft" Issues on the Value of an Opportunity. Production
Sharing Agreement Risk Model. Scheduling and Optimization Risk Model. Decision/Option
Selection Risk Model. Risk Process to Identify Business Drivers, Maximize Value, and Determine the Value of Potential Expenditures. Summary. Building a Consensus Model. Building a Contributing
Factor Diagram. Monte Carlo Analysis. Decisions and Distributions. Chance of Failure. Time Series Analysis and Dependence. Risk
Weighted Values and Sensitivity Analysis