Roseanne W. McManus

Statements of Resolve (eBook, PDF)

Achieving Coercive Credibility in International Conflict

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

Statements of resolve - in which leaders indicate that their country is committed to a position and will not back down - are a fixture of international conflict. However, scholars have not agreed on how much these statements affect conflict outcomes or which conditions give them coercive credibility. Statements of Resolve argues that an important and underappreciated factor influencing the impact of resolved statements is the ability to follow through. Roseanne W. McManus explains how adversaries analyze a leader's ability to follow through on statements and shows that perceptions of the ability to follow through are influenced not only by military capabilities but also by less obvious domestic political conditions. Through rigorous statistical tests based on quantitative coding of US presidential statements and case studies of three Cold War conflicts, this book shows that resolved statements can effectively coerce adversaries, but only when a sufficient physical and political ability is present.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Erscheinungstermin: 25. Juli 2017
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9781316767108
• Artikelnr.: 48796327

Autorenporträt

Roseanne W. McManus is an Assistant Professor at Baruch College, City University of New York. Before earning her Ph.D. at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, she worked for four years at the US Defense Intelligence Agency, eventually rising to the position of Senior Analyst. Her dissertation, on which this book was based, was runner-up for the Kenneth Waltz Dissertation Prize from the American Political Science Association International Security and Arms Control section. She has articles published or forthcoming in International Organization, the Journal of Conflict Resolution, the Journal of Peace Research, and International Interactions.

Inhaltsangabe

Introduction
Part I. Background and Theory: 1. The ability to follow through and other conditions for statements' effectiveness
Part II. Data on Statements and Statistical Analysis: 2. Data on statements and when they are made
3. The general effectiveness of resolved statements
4. Evidence regarding the conditions for statements' effectiveness
5. Relationship among the conditions for statements' effectiveness
Part III. Case Studies: 6. Cuban missile crisis
7. Refreezing of the Cold War
8. Vietnam war
Conclusion
Appendices
Appendix 1. Formal model of the effect of veto players
Appendix 2. Formal model of the effect of security in office
Appendix 3. Content analysis dictionary
References
Index.