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58th Annual Edition of the leading resource on US stock market trend, patterns, and cycles Neatly organized in an accessible calendar format, Stock Trader's Almanac 2025 enables traders around the world to make sense of the complexities of the US stock market by recognizing historical cycles, trends, and patterns that are essential to making sound investment decisions. This 58th Annual Edition has been thoroughly revised for 2025 to help readers on monthly and daily basis, explaining a wealth of proven proprietary strategies including the "January Barometer," the "Santa Claus Rally," the…mehr
58th Annual Edition of the leading resource on US stock market trend, patterns, and cycles
Neatly organized in an accessible calendar format, Stock Trader's Almanac 2025 enables traders around the world to make sense of the complexities of the US stock market by recognizing historical cycles, trends, and patterns that are essential to making sound investment decisions. This 58th Annual Edition has been thoroughly revised for 2025 to help readers on monthly and daily basis, explaining a wealth of proven proprietary strategies including the "January Barometer," the "Santa Claus Rally," the "Best Six Months," and the four-year "Presidential Election Cycle."
Edited by veteran trader and market strategist Jeffrey Hirsch, this 2025 Almanac is a testament to the original iconic work founder Yale Hirsch created in the first 1968 edition and the over five decades of behavioral finance thought leadership it has provided since. The Almanac remains the most valuable trader's desk reference on Wall Street and this year's edition is packed with seasonal and historic investing insights for the year ahead including:
How our Presidential Elections affect the economy and the stock market-just as the moon affects the tides
Post-Election Years Best Year of the 4-Year Cycle Since 1985
How the passage of the Twentieth Amendment to the Constitution fathered the January Barometer
Why there is a significant market bias at certain times of the day, week, month and year
Market behavior three days before and after the holidays
Updates investment knowledge and informs you of new techniques and tools.
Is a monthly reminder and refresher course.
Alerts you to both seasonal opportunities and dangers.
Furnishes a historical viewpoint by providing pertinent statistics on past market performance.
Supplies forms necessary for portfolio planning, record keeping and tax preparation
On the desks of Top Money Managers since 1968, Stock Trader's Almanac 2025 is an essential resource for both retail and institutional investment professionals seeking to understand recurring patterns in the US stock market and consistently maximize profit potential.
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Inhaltsangabe
7 Introduction to the Fifty-Eighth Edition 10 2025 Outlook 12 2025 Strategy Calendar 14 January Almanac 16 January's First Five Days: An Early Warning System 18 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only 12 Significant Errors in 74 Years 20 Bulls Win When Market Hits The January Trifecta 22 February Almanac 24 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record 26 Market Charts of Post-Presidential Election Years 28 Post-Election Year Performance by Party 30 March Almanac 32 Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper 34 Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Under Republicans 36 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool 38 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies 40 April Almanac 42 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901 44 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930 46 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 48 May Almanac 50 Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months 52 Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor's 500 and Dow Jones Industrials 54 "Best Six Months": Still an Eye-Popping Strategy 56 MACD-Timing Triples "Best Six Months" Results 58 June Almanac 60 Top Performing NASDAQ Months 62 Get More out of NASDAQ's "Best Eight Months" with MACD Timing 64 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle 66 July Almanac 68 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish 70 2023 Daily Dow Point Changes (Dow Jones Industrial Average) 72 Don't Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday 74 August Almanac 76 A Rally for All Seasons 78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning 80 Republican Congress & Democratic President Is Best for the Market 82 Fourth Quarter Market Magic 84 September Almanac 86 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined 88 A Correction for All Seasons 90 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon 92 October Almanac 94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays 96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar 100 November Almanac 102 Market Behavior Three Days Before and Three Days After Holidays 104 Traders Feast on Small Stocks Thanksgiving Through Santa Claus Rally 106 Trading the Thanksgiving Market 108 Aura of the Quad Witch-4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After 110 December Almanac 112 Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December 114 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December 116 Wall Street's Only "Free Lunch" Served Before Christmas 118 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall 120 2026 Strategy Calendar 123 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2025 124 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2025 125 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2025 126 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2025 127 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2025 128 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2025 129 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2025 130 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2025 131 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon 132 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 191-Year Saga Continues 133 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900 134 Standard & Poor's 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/ NASDAQ Composite Since 1971 135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February 136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April 137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June 138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August 139 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October 140 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December 141 A Typical Day in the Market 142 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis 143 Tuesday & Friday Most Profitable Days of Week 144 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week 145 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952 146 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971 147 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks 148 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks 149 November, December, and January: Year's Best Three-Month Span 150 November Through June: NASDAQ's Eight-Month Run 151 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1901 153 S&P 500 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1930 154 NASDAQ Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1971 155 Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1979 156 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 158 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950 160 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 162 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 164 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 166 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971 168 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971 170 Russell 1000 Index Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 171 Russell 1000 Index Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 172 Russell 2000 Index Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 173 Russell 2000 Index Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 174 10 Best Days by Percent and Point 175 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point 176 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point 177 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point 178 10 Best Months by Percent and Point 179 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point 180 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point 181 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point 182 10 Best Years by Percent and Point 183 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point Strategy Planning and Record Section 185 Portfolio at Start of 2025 186 Additional Purchases 188 Short-Term Transactions 190 Long-Term Transactions 192 Interest/Dividends Received During 2025/Brokerage Account Data 2025 193 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2025 195 Weekly Indicator Data 2025 197 Monthly Indicator Data 2025 198 Portfolio at End of 2025 199 If You Don't Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations 200 Individual Retirement Accounts:Most Awesome Investment Incentive Ever Devised 201 G.M. Loeb's "Battle Plan" for Investment Survival 202 G.M. Loeb's Investment Survival Checklist
7 Introduction to the Fifty-Eighth Edition 10 2025 Outlook 12 2025 Strategy Calendar 14 January Almanac 16 January's First Five Days: An Early Warning System 18 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only 12 Significant Errors in 74 Years 20 Bulls Win When Market Hits The January Trifecta 22 February Almanac 24 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record 26 Market Charts of Post-Presidential Election Years 28 Post-Election Year Performance by Party 30 March Almanac 32 Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper 34 Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Under Republicans 36 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool 38 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies 40 April Almanac 42 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901 44 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930 46 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 48 May Almanac 50 Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months 52 Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor's 500 and Dow Jones Industrials 54 "Best Six Months": Still an Eye-Popping Strategy 56 MACD-Timing Triples "Best Six Months" Results 58 June Almanac 60 Top Performing NASDAQ Months 62 Get More out of NASDAQ's "Best Eight Months" with MACD Timing 64 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle 66 July Almanac 68 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish 70 2023 Daily Dow Point Changes (Dow Jones Industrial Average) 72 Don't Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday 74 August Almanac 76 A Rally for All Seasons 78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning 80 Republican Congress & Democratic President Is Best for the Market 82 Fourth Quarter Market Magic 84 September Almanac 86 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined 88 A Correction for All Seasons 90 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon 92 October Almanac 94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays 96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar 100 November Almanac 102 Market Behavior Three Days Before and Three Days After Holidays 104 Traders Feast on Small Stocks Thanksgiving Through Santa Claus Rally 106 Trading the Thanksgiving Market 108 Aura of the Quad Witch-4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After 110 December Almanac 112 Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December 114 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December 116 Wall Street's Only "Free Lunch" Served Before Christmas 118 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall 120 2026 Strategy Calendar 123 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2025 124 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2025 125 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2025 126 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2025 127 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2025 128 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2025 129 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2025 130 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2025 131 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon 132 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 191-Year Saga Continues 133 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900 134 Standard & Poor's 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/ NASDAQ Composite Since 1971 135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February 136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April 137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June 138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August 139 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October 140 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December 141 A Typical Day in the Market 142 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis 143 Tuesday & Friday Most Profitable Days of Week 144 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week 145 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952 146 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971 147 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks 148 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks 149 November, December, and January: Year's Best Three-Month Span 150 November Through June: NASDAQ's Eight-Month Run 151 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1901 153 S&P 500 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1930 154 NASDAQ Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1971 155 Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, & Closes Since 1979 156 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 158 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950 160 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 162 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 164 Standard & Poor's 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 166 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971 168 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971 170 Russell 1000 Index Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 171 Russell 1000 Index Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 172 Russell 2000 Index Monthly Percent Changes Since 1979 173 Russell 2000 Index Monthly Closing Prices Since 1979 174 10 Best Days by Percent and Point 175 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point 176 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point 177 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point 178 10 Best Months by Percent and Point 179 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point 180 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point 181 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point 182 10 Best Years by Percent and Point 183 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point Strategy Planning and Record Section 185 Portfolio at Start of 2025 186 Additional Purchases 188 Short-Term Transactions 190 Long-Term Transactions 192 Interest/Dividends Received During 2025/Brokerage Account Data 2025 193 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2025 195 Weekly Indicator Data 2025 197 Monthly Indicator Data 2025 198 Portfolio at End of 2025 199 If You Don't Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations 200 Individual Retirement Accounts:Most Awesome Investment Incentive Ever Devised 201 G.M. Loeb's "Battle Plan" for Investment Survival 202 G.M. Loeb's Investment Survival Checklist
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