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This book examines the implications of counterinsurgency warfare for U.S. defense policy and makes the compelling argument that the United States' default position on counterinsurgency wars should be to avoid them. Given the unsatisfactory outcomes of the counterinsurgency (COIN) wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. military is now in a heated debate over whether wars involving COIN operations are worth fighting. This book provides a comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of COIN through key historic episodes and concludes that the answer is an emphatic "no," based on a dominant record…mehr
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This book examines the implications of counterinsurgency warfare for U.S. defense policy and makes the compelling argument that the United States' default position on counterinsurgency wars should be to avoid them. Given the unsatisfactory outcomes of the counterinsurgency (COIN) wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. military is now in a heated debate over whether wars involving COIN operations are worth fighting. This book provides a comprehensive analysis of the effectiveness of COIN through key historic episodes and concludes that the answer is an emphatic "no," based on a dominant record of U.S. military or political failure, and inconsistency in the reasons for the rare cases of success. The author also examines the implications of his findings for U.S. foreign policy, defense policy, and future weapons procurement.
Produktdetails
- Produktdetails
- Verlag: Bloomsbury Publishing Inc
- Seitenzahl: 200
- Altersempfehlung: ab 7 Jahre
- Erscheinungstermin: 19. Juli 2013
- Englisch
- ISBN-13: 9781440830105
- Artikelnr.: 68183899
- Verlag: Bloomsbury Publishing Inc
- Seitenzahl: 200
- Altersempfehlung: ab 7 Jahre
- Erscheinungstermin: 19. Juli 2013
- Englisch
- ISBN-13: 9781440830105
- Artikelnr.: 68183899
- Herstellerkennzeichnung Die Herstellerinformationen sind derzeit nicht verfügbar.
Ivan Eland, PhD, is director of the Center on Peace and Liberty at The Independent Institute in Oakland, CA. His published works include Praeger's Putting Defense Back into U.S. Defense Policy: Rethinking U.S. Security in the Post-Cold War World.
1 Introduction: Quagmire: The Usual Outcome of Counterinsurgency Warfare
What Is an Insurgency? Guerrillas Have the Advantage in COIN Wars
Guerrillas Not Winning the Support of the People Is Rare Governments
Disregard History and Continue to Jump into COIN Wars 2 When to Battle
Insurgents The Different Types of Guerrilla Wars Losing COIN Both
Militarily and Politically Winning COIN Militarily, but Losing Politically
Losing COIN Militarily, but Winning a Larger Conflict COIN War Ending in
Negotiated Settlement or Concessions by COIN Forces Closely Examining the
Minority of Cases in which COIN Forces Won Both Militarily and Politically
Conclusion 3 Classic COIN Strategy Scorched Earth Sometimes Succeeds In the
Modern World, a Classical COIN Strategy Is Probably Best But COIN Doesn't
Always Work Insurgency More Cost Effective Than Counterinsurgency A Classic
COIN Strategy Requires More Forces Than Does Blasting Rebels Conclusion 4
COIN and Compromise Successful Episodes Involving Concessions or Compromise
Missed Opportunities Conclusion 5 The Disadvantage of Foreign Occupiers A
Nationalist Reaction Against Foreign Occupation Can Make Revolt Potent
Nationalist-Based Insurgencies Are the Most Effective Even Factionalized
Nationalist Movements Can Win a Guerrilla War Governments Can Occasionally
Hold the Nationalist Card Vis-à-Vis Guerrillas But It Doesn't Always Take
Nationalist Movements to Win Guerrilla Wars Guerrillas Have Advantages in
Propaganda Use Foreign Occupiers Are Rarely Given the Benefit of the Doubt
by Locals . And Some Local Guerrillas Can (Literally) Get Away with Murder
Foreign Occupiers Are Handicapped by Poor Knowledge of Local Conditions If
Foreign Forces Are Used Instead of Training Local Ones, Winning Is
Problematical The Advantage of Local Forces Compared to an Outsider
Conclusion 6 The Guerrilla Advantage Despite Advances in Technology,
Guerrillas Retain Advantages Guerrillas May Try to Provoke COIN Forces into
an Overreaction Conclusion 7 COIN Forces' Advantages: Firepower, Numbers,
and Technology COIN Forces' Use of Excessive Firepower Often Backfires
Targeted Killings of Guerrilla Leaders May Backfire as a COIN Strategy
Scorched Earth Policies Can Sometimes Work Sometimes Even Benevolent
Policies Are Not Successful Lack of Political Will Can Be a Problem in COIN
Expanding Indigenous Forces to Take Over Can Be Difficult COIN Forces May
Develop Tactical Innovations but Still Lose the War Waging COIN Is a
Difficult Balancing Act Conclusion 8 Time Favors the Insurgents Guerrillas
Are Often in No Hurry Some Insurgents Are Still Waiting Trying to Win Too
Quickly Can Hurt Insurgents A Key Center of Gravity Is Public Support for
the COIN War at Home Foreign COIN Forces Are Challenged Because Their Time
Is Likely Fleeting Conclusion 9 COIN Wars: The Political Aspects Local
Governments Engaged in COIN Likely Already Suffer Legitimacy Problems
Military Organizations' Forte Is Not the Armed Social Work Needed for COIN
Instituting Democracy Is Often a Façade and Isn't Always a Plus for COIN
Warfare The Results of Even Fair Elections Are Not Always Predictable COIN
Often Unwisely Tries to Strengthen Local Central Government Conclusion 10
The Guerrilla Win and External Support Guerrillas Who Won Militarily or
Politically Without External Aid Even Without External Aid Some Rebels
Persevere Walls Can Be Effective in Keeping Out Aid and Fighters, But Not
Permanently Guerrillas Who Likely Could Have Won Without External Aid Could
Losers Win With External Assistance? Assisting the Enemy Conclusion 11 The
United States and Politically Dominated Wars Politics of Weapons Buying
Stops Great Powers from Equipping for COIN Conclusion 12 Prospects for
Pending COIN Wars U.S. Occupation of Iraq U.S. Occupation of Afghanistan
Counterinsurgency From the Air: The Drone Wars in Yemen and Somalia The
General War on Terror Conclusion 13 U.S. Track Record on COIN: Implications
for Forces and Weapons U.S. Vital Interests Do Not Usually Require COIN
Warfare What about the Unlikely Scenario of a Necessary COIN War?
Conclusion 14 The Domestic Effects of Overseas Counterinsurgency Wars
Vietnam War The War on Terror Conclusion Bibliography Index About the
Author
What Is an Insurgency? Guerrillas Have the Advantage in COIN Wars
Guerrillas Not Winning the Support of the People Is Rare Governments
Disregard History and Continue to Jump into COIN Wars 2 When to Battle
Insurgents The Different Types of Guerrilla Wars Losing COIN Both
Militarily and Politically Winning COIN Militarily, but Losing Politically
Losing COIN Militarily, but Winning a Larger Conflict COIN War Ending in
Negotiated Settlement or Concessions by COIN Forces Closely Examining the
Minority of Cases in which COIN Forces Won Both Militarily and Politically
Conclusion 3 Classic COIN Strategy Scorched Earth Sometimes Succeeds In the
Modern World, a Classical COIN Strategy Is Probably Best But COIN Doesn't
Always Work Insurgency More Cost Effective Than Counterinsurgency A Classic
COIN Strategy Requires More Forces Than Does Blasting Rebels Conclusion 4
COIN and Compromise Successful Episodes Involving Concessions or Compromise
Missed Opportunities Conclusion 5 The Disadvantage of Foreign Occupiers A
Nationalist Reaction Against Foreign Occupation Can Make Revolt Potent
Nationalist-Based Insurgencies Are the Most Effective Even Factionalized
Nationalist Movements Can Win a Guerrilla War Governments Can Occasionally
Hold the Nationalist Card Vis-à-Vis Guerrillas But It Doesn't Always Take
Nationalist Movements to Win Guerrilla Wars Guerrillas Have Advantages in
Propaganda Use Foreign Occupiers Are Rarely Given the Benefit of the Doubt
by Locals . And Some Local Guerrillas Can (Literally) Get Away with Murder
Foreign Occupiers Are Handicapped by Poor Knowledge of Local Conditions If
Foreign Forces Are Used Instead of Training Local Ones, Winning Is
Problematical The Advantage of Local Forces Compared to an Outsider
Conclusion 6 The Guerrilla Advantage Despite Advances in Technology,
Guerrillas Retain Advantages Guerrillas May Try to Provoke COIN Forces into
an Overreaction Conclusion 7 COIN Forces' Advantages: Firepower, Numbers,
and Technology COIN Forces' Use of Excessive Firepower Often Backfires
Targeted Killings of Guerrilla Leaders May Backfire as a COIN Strategy
Scorched Earth Policies Can Sometimes Work Sometimes Even Benevolent
Policies Are Not Successful Lack of Political Will Can Be a Problem in COIN
Expanding Indigenous Forces to Take Over Can Be Difficult COIN Forces May
Develop Tactical Innovations but Still Lose the War Waging COIN Is a
Difficult Balancing Act Conclusion 8 Time Favors the Insurgents Guerrillas
Are Often in No Hurry Some Insurgents Are Still Waiting Trying to Win Too
Quickly Can Hurt Insurgents A Key Center of Gravity Is Public Support for
the COIN War at Home Foreign COIN Forces Are Challenged Because Their Time
Is Likely Fleeting Conclusion 9 COIN Wars: The Political Aspects Local
Governments Engaged in COIN Likely Already Suffer Legitimacy Problems
Military Organizations' Forte Is Not the Armed Social Work Needed for COIN
Instituting Democracy Is Often a Façade and Isn't Always a Plus for COIN
Warfare The Results of Even Fair Elections Are Not Always Predictable COIN
Often Unwisely Tries to Strengthen Local Central Government Conclusion 10
The Guerrilla Win and External Support Guerrillas Who Won Militarily or
Politically Without External Aid Even Without External Aid Some Rebels
Persevere Walls Can Be Effective in Keeping Out Aid and Fighters, But Not
Permanently Guerrillas Who Likely Could Have Won Without External Aid Could
Losers Win With External Assistance? Assisting the Enemy Conclusion 11 The
United States and Politically Dominated Wars Politics of Weapons Buying
Stops Great Powers from Equipping for COIN Conclusion 12 Prospects for
Pending COIN Wars U.S. Occupation of Iraq U.S. Occupation of Afghanistan
Counterinsurgency From the Air: The Drone Wars in Yemen and Somalia The
General War on Terror Conclusion 13 U.S. Track Record on COIN: Implications
for Forces and Weapons U.S. Vital Interests Do Not Usually Require COIN
Warfare What about the Unlikely Scenario of a Necessary COIN War?
Conclusion 14 The Domestic Effects of Overseas Counterinsurgency Wars
Vietnam War The War on Terror Conclusion Bibliography Index About the
Author
1 Introduction: Quagmire: The Usual Outcome of Counterinsurgency Warfare
What Is an Insurgency? Guerrillas Have the Advantage in COIN Wars
Guerrillas Not Winning the Support of the People Is Rare Governments
Disregard History and Continue to Jump into COIN Wars 2 When to Battle
Insurgents The Different Types of Guerrilla Wars Losing COIN Both
Militarily and Politically Winning COIN Militarily, but Losing Politically
Losing COIN Militarily, but Winning a Larger Conflict COIN War Ending in
Negotiated Settlement or Concessions by COIN Forces Closely Examining the
Minority of Cases in which COIN Forces Won Both Militarily and Politically
Conclusion 3 Classic COIN Strategy Scorched Earth Sometimes Succeeds In the
Modern World, a Classical COIN Strategy Is Probably Best But COIN Doesn't
Always Work Insurgency More Cost Effective Than Counterinsurgency A Classic
COIN Strategy Requires More Forces Than Does Blasting Rebels Conclusion 4
COIN and Compromise Successful Episodes Involving Concessions or Compromise
Missed Opportunities Conclusion 5 The Disadvantage of Foreign Occupiers A
Nationalist Reaction Against Foreign Occupation Can Make Revolt Potent
Nationalist-Based Insurgencies Are the Most Effective Even Factionalized
Nationalist Movements Can Win a Guerrilla War Governments Can Occasionally
Hold the Nationalist Card Vis-à-Vis Guerrillas But It Doesn't Always Take
Nationalist Movements to Win Guerrilla Wars Guerrillas Have Advantages in
Propaganda Use Foreign Occupiers Are Rarely Given the Benefit of the Doubt
by Locals . And Some Local Guerrillas Can (Literally) Get Away with Murder
Foreign Occupiers Are Handicapped by Poor Knowledge of Local Conditions If
Foreign Forces Are Used Instead of Training Local Ones, Winning Is
Problematical The Advantage of Local Forces Compared to an Outsider
Conclusion 6 The Guerrilla Advantage Despite Advances in Technology,
Guerrillas Retain Advantages Guerrillas May Try to Provoke COIN Forces into
an Overreaction Conclusion 7 COIN Forces' Advantages: Firepower, Numbers,
and Technology COIN Forces' Use of Excessive Firepower Often Backfires
Targeted Killings of Guerrilla Leaders May Backfire as a COIN Strategy
Scorched Earth Policies Can Sometimes Work Sometimes Even Benevolent
Policies Are Not Successful Lack of Political Will Can Be a Problem in COIN
Expanding Indigenous Forces to Take Over Can Be Difficult COIN Forces May
Develop Tactical Innovations but Still Lose the War Waging COIN Is a
Difficult Balancing Act Conclusion 8 Time Favors the Insurgents Guerrillas
Are Often in No Hurry Some Insurgents Are Still Waiting Trying to Win Too
Quickly Can Hurt Insurgents A Key Center of Gravity Is Public Support for
the COIN War at Home Foreign COIN Forces Are Challenged Because Their Time
Is Likely Fleeting Conclusion 9 COIN Wars: The Political Aspects Local
Governments Engaged in COIN Likely Already Suffer Legitimacy Problems
Military Organizations' Forte Is Not the Armed Social Work Needed for COIN
Instituting Democracy Is Often a Façade and Isn't Always a Plus for COIN
Warfare The Results of Even Fair Elections Are Not Always Predictable COIN
Often Unwisely Tries to Strengthen Local Central Government Conclusion 10
The Guerrilla Win and External Support Guerrillas Who Won Militarily or
Politically Without External Aid Even Without External Aid Some Rebels
Persevere Walls Can Be Effective in Keeping Out Aid and Fighters, But Not
Permanently Guerrillas Who Likely Could Have Won Without External Aid Could
Losers Win With External Assistance? Assisting the Enemy Conclusion 11 The
United States and Politically Dominated Wars Politics of Weapons Buying
Stops Great Powers from Equipping for COIN Conclusion 12 Prospects for
Pending COIN Wars U.S. Occupation of Iraq U.S. Occupation of Afghanistan
Counterinsurgency From the Air: The Drone Wars in Yemen and Somalia The
General War on Terror Conclusion 13 U.S. Track Record on COIN: Implications
for Forces and Weapons U.S. Vital Interests Do Not Usually Require COIN
Warfare What about the Unlikely Scenario of a Necessary COIN War?
Conclusion 14 The Domestic Effects of Overseas Counterinsurgency Wars
Vietnam War The War on Terror Conclusion Bibliography Index About the
Author
What Is an Insurgency? Guerrillas Have the Advantage in COIN Wars
Guerrillas Not Winning the Support of the People Is Rare Governments
Disregard History and Continue to Jump into COIN Wars 2 When to Battle
Insurgents The Different Types of Guerrilla Wars Losing COIN Both
Militarily and Politically Winning COIN Militarily, but Losing Politically
Losing COIN Militarily, but Winning a Larger Conflict COIN War Ending in
Negotiated Settlement or Concessions by COIN Forces Closely Examining the
Minority of Cases in which COIN Forces Won Both Militarily and Politically
Conclusion 3 Classic COIN Strategy Scorched Earth Sometimes Succeeds In the
Modern World, a Classical COIN Strategy Is Probably Best But COIN Doesn't
Always Work Insurgency More Cost Effective Than Counterinsurgency A Classic
COIN Strategy Requires More Forces Than Does Blasting Rebels Conclusion 4
COIN and Compromise Successful Episodes Involving Concessions or Compromise
Missed Opportunities Conclusion 5 The Disadvantage of Foreign Occupiers A
Nationalist Reaction Against Foreign Occupation Can Make Revolt Potent
Nationalist-Based Insurgencies Are the Most Effective Even Factionalized
Nationalist Movements Can Win a Guerrilla War Governments Can Occasionally
Hold the Nationalist Card Vis-à-Vis Guerrillas But It Doesn't Always Take
Nationalist Movements to Win Guerrilla Wars Guerrillas Have Advantages in
Propaganda Use Foreign Occupiers Are Rarely Given the Benefit of the Doubt
by Locals . And Some Local Guerrillas Can (Literally) Get Away with Murder
Foreign Occupiers Are Handicapped by Poor Knowledge of Local Conditions If
Foreign Forces Are Used Instead of Training Local Ones, Winning Is
Problematical The Advantage of Local Forces Compared to an Outsider
Conclusion 6 The Guerrilla Advantage Despite Advances in Technology,
Guerrillas Retain Advantages Guerrillas May Try to Provoke COIN Forces into
an Overreaction Conclusion 7 COIN Forces' Advantages: Firepower, Numbers,
and Technology COIN Forces' Use of Excessive Firepower Often Backfires
Targeted Killings of Guerrilla Leaders May Backfire as a COIN Strategy
Scorched Earth Policies Can Sometimes Work Sometimes Even Benevolent
Policies Are Not Successful Lack of Political Will Can Be a Problem in COIN
Expanding Indigenous Forces to Take Over Can Be Difficult COIN Forces May
Develop Tactical Innovations but Still Lose the War Waging COIN Is a
Difficult Balancing Act Conclusion 8 Time Favors the Insurgents Guerrillas
Are Often in No Hurry Some Insurgents Are Still Waiting Trying to Win Too
Quickly Can Hurt Insurgents A Key Center of Gravity Is Public Support for
the COIN War at Home Foreign COIN Forces Are Challenged Because Their Time
Is Likely Fleeting Conclusion 9 COIN Wars: The Political Aspects Local
Governments Engaged in COIN Likely Already Suffer Legitimacy Problems
Military Organizations' Forte Is Not the Armed Social Work Needed for COIN
Instituting Democracy Is Often a Façade and Isn't Always a Plus for COIN
Warfare The Results of Even Fair Elections Are Not Always Predictable COIN
Often Unwisely Tries to Strengthen Local Central Government Conclusion 10
The Guerrilla Win and External Support Guerrillas Who Won Militarily or
Politically Without External Aid Even Without External Aid Some Rebels
Persevere Walls Can Be Effective in Keeping Out Aid and Fighters, But Not
Permanently Guerrillas Who Likely Could Have Won Without External Aid Could
Losers Win With External Assistance? Assisting the Enemy Conclusion 11 The
United States and Politically Dominated Wars Politics of Weapons Buying
Stops Great Powers from Equipping for COIN Conclusion 12 Prospects for
Pending COIN Wars U.S. Occupation of Iraq U.S. Occupation of Afghanistan
Counterinsurgency From the Air: The Drone Wars in Yemen and Somalia The
General War on Terror Conclusion 13 U.S. Track Record on COIN: Implications
for Forces and Weapons U.S. Vital Interests Do Not Usually Require COIN
Warfare What about the Unlikely Scenario of a Necessary COIN War?
Conclusion 14 The Domestic Effects of Overseas Counterinsurgency Wars
Vietnam War The War on Terror Conclusion Bibliography Index About the
Author