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Whether or not we believe that events are consciously ordered before their occurrence, we are compelled to admit the importance of Contingency in human affairs. If we believe in such an orderly and predetermined arrangement, the small circumstance upon which a great event may hinge becomes, in our view, but the instrumentality by means of which the great plan is operated. It by no means sets aside the vital influence of chance to assume that "all chance is but direction which we cannot see." For instance, the believer in special providences regards as clearly providential the flight of the…mehr

Produktbeschreibung
Whether or not we believe that events are consciously ordered before their occurrence, we are compelled to admit the importance of Contingency in human affairs.
If we believe in such an orderly and predetermined arrangement, the small circumstance upon which a great event may hinge becomes, in our view, but the instrumentality by means of which the great plan is operated. It by no means sets aside the vital influence of chance to assume that "all chance is but direction which we cannot see."
For instance, the believer in special providences regards as clearly providential the flight of the flocks of birds which diverted the course of Columbus from our shores to those of the West Indies; but it is none the less true that this trivial circumstance caused the great navigator to turn his prow.
Those who, on the other hand, reject the idea of special providences, and treat history as a sequence of occurrences emerging mechanically from the relations of men with one another, must admit that causes forever contend with causes, and that the nice balance of action and reaction may sometimes be influenced radically by even so small a circumstance as the cackling of the geese of Rome.

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Autorenporträt
Joseph Edgar Chamberlin (1851-1935) was a significant figure in the field of journalism and literature during the late 19th and early 20th centuries. He was renowned for his keen insight into historical analysis, which he exquisitely articulated in his works. Perhaps his most acclaimed book, 'The Ifs of History' delves into the tantalizing possibilities of alternative historical outcomes, a precursor to what is now known as 'counterfactual history' or 'virtual history.' In this study, Chamberlin explored the myriad turning points in history, examining how different outcomes could have profoundly changed the world as we know it. His literary style blended erudite scholarship with accessible prose, allowing readers to engage with complex historical scenarios in a compelling and thought-provoking manner. Chamberlin's work remains a testament to the intellectual curiosity that was emblematic of his time, inspiring readers and historians alike to ponder the intricate tapestry of history and the role of chance within it. While 'The Ifs of History' is often cited for its imaginative approach, Chamberlin's literary contribution extends beyond this single work, encompassing a broad spectrum of articles and essays that enriched the journalistic and historical discourse of his era.