William James Burroughs

Weather Cycles (eBook, PDF)

Real or Imaginary?

• Format: PDF

Produktbeschreibung

This completely updated new edition of Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary? explores in detail the unresolved debate on the existence of weather cycles. The book examines the competing arguments for observed effects being due to natural variability, solar activity and the Earth's orbital parameters. It provides a different perspective on one of the most difficult questions in the current global warming debate: namely, just how much of the recent temperature rise can be attributed to natural causes? Only by understanding how the climate can change of its own accord, and whether observed shifts are part of a set of predictable patterns, will it be possible to reach a reliable judgement on how much impact human activities are having. This book examines the complex analysis required to assess the evidence for cycles with a minimum of mathematics. This comprehensive and balanced account will appeal to the student and expert alike.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: Cambridge University Press
• Erscheinungstermin: 22. Dezember 2003
• Englisch
• ISBN-13: 9780511075384
• Artikelnr.: 38210152

Autorenporträt

After seven years at the UK National Physical Laboratory researching atmospheric physics, Bill Burroughs spent three years as a UK Scientific Attaché in Washington D.C. Between 1974 and 1995, he held a series of senior posts in the UK Departments of Energy and then Health. He is now a professional science writer and has published several books on various aspects of weather and climate (two as a co-author), and also three books for children on lasers. These books include Watching the World's Weather (1991), Weather Cycles (1992), Does the Weather Really Matter? (1997), The Climate Revealed (1999), and Climate Change: A Multidisciplinary Approach (2001), all with Cambridge University Press. In addition, he acted as lead author for the World Meteorological Organisation on a book entitled Climate: Into the Twenty-First Century. He has also written widely on the weather and climate in newspapers and popular magazines.

Inhaltsangabe

Preface
Acknowledgements
1. The search for cycles
2. Statistical background
3. Instrumental records
4. Proxy data
5. The global climate
6. Extraterrestrial influences
7. Autovariance and other explanations
8. Nothing more than chaos?
Appendix A.1. Measures of variability
A.2. Sherman's statistic
A.3. Fourier series and Fourier analysis
A.4. Calculations of the coefficients of harmonic analysis
A.5. Maximum entropy spectral analysis (MESA)
A.6. Smoothing and filtering
A.7. Wavelet analysis
A.8. Singular spectrum analysis
A.9. Noise
A.10. Detrending of prewhitening
Annotated bibliography
References
Glossary
Index.