Application of Uncertainty Analysis to Ecological Risks of Pesticides

Herausgeber: Warren-Hicks, William J.; Hart, Andy

• Gebundenes Buch

Produktbeschreibung

While current methods used in ecological risk assessments for pesticides are largely deterministic, quantifiable results garnered using probabilistic methods are attracting growing interest. This book identifies which methods are most appropriate for pesticide assessment.

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Currently, ecological risk assessments for pesticides use largely deterministic methods, yet there is a growing trend from industries and governments toward more quantifiable results using probabilistic methods. Identifying which methods are most appropriate for pesticide assessment, this book explores their suitability as a common protocol for general use. The authors discuss classical and Bayesian approaches, various types of Monte Carlo analysis, first order error analysis, probability bounds analysis, interval analysis, and fuzzy mathematics. They then examine how these methods can be used in assessments for other environmental contaminants.

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Produktdetails

• Verlag: CRC Press
• Seitenzahl: 230
• Erscheinungstermin: 7. April 2010
• Englisch
• Abmessung: 240mm x 161mm x 17mm
• Gewicht: 514g
• ISBN-13: 9781439807347
• ISBN-10: 1439807345
• Artikelnr.: 27876444

Autorenporträt

William J. Warren-Hicks, Andy Hart

Inhaltsangabe

Introduction, Objectives and Key issues. Problem Formulation for
Probabilistic Assessments. Bayesian Methods. Selecting Statistical
Distributions. Propagating Uncertainty in Non-Hierarchical Models.
Propagating Uncertainty in Hierarchical Models. Bounding Techniques. How to
Detect and Avoid Misleading Results. Interpreting and Using PRA Results in
Environmental Decision-Making. Workshop Conclusions and Findings. Glossary.