Originally published in 1952. This book is a critical survey of the views of scientific inference that have been developed since the end of World War I. It contains some detailed exposition of ideas - notably of Keynes - that were cryptically put forward, often quoted, but nowhere explained. Part I discusses and illustrates the method of hypothesis. Part II concerns induction. Part III considers aspects of the theory of probability that seem to bear on the problem of induction and Part IV outlines the shape of this problem and its solution take if transformed by the present approach.
Originally published in 1952. This book is a critical survey of the views of scientific inference that have been developed since the end of World War I. It contains some detailed exposition of ideas - notably of Keynes - that were cryptically put forward, often quoted, but nowhere explained. Part I discusses and illustrates the method of hypothesis. Part II concerns induction. Part III considers aspects of the theory of probability that seem to bear on the problem of induction and Part IV outlines the shape of this problem and its solution take if transformed by the present approach.Hinweis: Dieser Artikel kann nur an eine deutsche Lieferadresse ausgeliefert werden.
1. Scientific Outlook 2. Experiments and Method 3. The Contrast Between Generalisation and Non-Instantial Hypothesis 4. The Principle of Testability 5. Induction and the Hypothetico-Deductive System 6. Hypothetico-Deductive Explanation 7. Two Types of Simplicity 8. Determinism, Orderliness and Uncertainty 9. Operationalism and the Descriptive Interpretation 10. The Traditional Approach to Induction 11. Criteria for Causal Determination and Functional Relationship 12. The Nature and Strength of Generalisation, Analogy and Induction 13. Induction by Repetition 14. The Law of Uniformity of Nature 15. Requirements for an Inductive Principle 16. Four Principles of Induction 17. Induction as a Successful Habit 18. The Vertical Causal Nexus 19. Impasse in the Inductive Approach 20. Some Theorems in Probability 21. The Meaning of Probability 22. The Probability of a Hypothesis Appendix: The Probability Calculus and Keynes's Principle 23. Probability and Induction 24. Transformation of the Problem of Induction List of Works Directly Cited Index
1. Scientific Outlook 2. Experiments and Method 3. The Contrast Between Generalisation and Non-Instantial Hypothesis 4. The Principle of Testability 5. Induction and the Hypothetico-Deductive System 6. Hypothetico-Deductive Explanation 7. Two Types of Simplicity 8. Determinism, Orderliness and Uncertainty 9. Operationalism and the Descriptive Interpretation 10. The Traditional Approach to Induction 11. Criteria for Causal Determination and Functional Relationship 12. The Nature and Strength of Generalisation, Analogy and Induction 13. Induction by Repetition 14. The Law of Uniformity of Nature 15. Requirements for an Inductive Principle 16. Four Principles of Induction 17. Induction as a Successful Habit 18. The Vertical Causal Nexus 19. Impasse in the Inductive Approach 20. Some Theorems in Probability 21. The Meaning of Probability 22. The Probability of a Hypothesis Appendix: The Probability Calculus and Keynes's Principle 23. Probability and Induction 24. Transformation of the Problem of Induction List of Works Directly Cited Index
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